Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 4

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Ospreys		Glasgow Warriors

	1	X	2
	2.5	21	1.57
	2.44	22	1.58
	3.60	24.86	1.31	Watch
	2.5	18	1.59
	2.5	21	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.58)	21.37 ↑ (20)	1.53 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ospreys
34.5%

Draw
4.4%

Glasgow Warriors
61.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.7%

4.6%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospreys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Glasgow Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ospreys - Glasgow Warriors Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Glasgow Warriors will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:27

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 21)
2nd Half (7 - 21)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 2.

Ospreys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Glasgow Warriors could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 359:445. (average 18.9:23.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ospreys won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 187:205. (average 20.8:22.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ospreys Premiership Select
United Rugby Championship
11.10.25	Ospreys - Zebre	24:0 ✺
03.10.25	Stormers - Ospreys	26:10 ✺
27.09.25	Blue Bulls - Ospreys	53:40 ✺
17.05.25	Lions - Ospreys	29:28 ✺
09.05.25	Sharks - Ospreys	29:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL
- Glasgow Warriors
United Rugby Championship
11.10.25	Glasgow Warriors - Newport Gwent Dragons	49:0 ✺
04.10.25	Benetton Treviso - Glasgow Warriors	16:14 ✺
26.09.25	Glasgow Warriors - Sharks	35:19 ✺
07.06.25	Leinster - Glasgow Warriors	37:19 ✺
30.05.25	Glasgow Warriors - Stormers	36:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
01.03.25	Glasgow Warriors - Ospreys	31:32
11.11.23	Ospreys - Glasgow Warriors	23:31
01.10.22	Ospreys - Glasgow Warriors	32:17
08.01.22	Glasgow Warriors - Ospreys	38:19
12.03.21	Glasgow Warriors - Ospreys	30:25
24.10.20	Ospreys - Glasgow Warriors	23:15
25.01.19	Glasgow Warriors - Ospreys	9:3

Upcoming Matches