Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 3

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Variety 1
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, URC


	Ospreys		Zebre

	1	X	2
	1.04	34	10
	1.05	40	8.8
	1.05	31.95	10.29	Watch
	1.05	36	10.5
	1.08	31	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.09)	34.59 ↑ (33.33)	9.52 ↑ (7.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-19)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospreys
87.6%

Draw
2.7%

Zebre
9.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

85%

2.8%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospreys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Zebre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ospreys - Zebre Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Ospreys will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 38:19

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 0)
2nd Half (10 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 4.

Zebre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ospreys is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 549:321. (average 27.5:16.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ospreys won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 330:131. (average 33:13.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ospreys Premiership Select
United Rugby Championship
03.10.25	Stormers - Ospreys	26:10 ✺
27.09.25	Blue Bulls - Ospreys	53:40 ✺
17.05.25	Lions - Ospreys	29:28 ✺
09.05.25	Sharks - Ospreys	29:10 ✺
26.04.25	Ospreys - Newport Gwent Dragons	57:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Zebre Rugby
United Rugby Championship
05.10.25	Zebre - Lions	22:20 ✺
27.09.25	Zebre - Edinburgh	31:28 ✺
17.05.25	Zebre - Connacht	12:22 ✺
10.05.25	Leinster - Zebre	76:5 ✺
25.04.25	Zebre - Edinburgh	25:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
30.11.24	Zebre - Ospreys	22:17
28.10.23	Ospreys - Zebre	34:31
29.01.23	Zebre - Ospreys	24:28
06.03.22	Ospreys - Zebre	27:22
20.02.21	Ospreys - Zebre	10:0
02.11.20	Zebre - Ospreys	23:17
30.11.18	Ospreys - Zebre	43:0

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