Match Info

NPC - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Forsyth Barr Stadium (Dunedin) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Rugby
Australia	15:05	Stan Sport
Nigeria	06:05	SuperSport Rugby
South Africa	07:05	SuperSport Rugby
International	05:05	RugbyPass TV


	Otago		Waikato

	1	X	2
	1.41	18.5	3
	1.41	27	2.9
	1.4	19	2.88	Watch
	1.37	24	2.7
	1.49	29	2.71
	1.41	27	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.36)	24.08 ↑ (21)	2.85 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otago
64.3%

Draw
3.8%

Waikato
31.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.9%

4.3%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Waikato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Otago - Waikato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:28

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (26 - 28)
2nd Half (17 - 10)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Otago won 3.

Otago could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Otago will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Otago won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 248:251. (average 27.6:27.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Otago won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 154:103. (average 38.5:25.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otago
New Zealand NPC
23.08.26	Otago - Wellington	61:22 ✺
15.08.26	Manawatu - Otago	27:29 ✺
08.08.26	Otago - Canterbury	15:19 ✺
01.08.26	Southland - Otago	14:41 ✺
24.10.25	Canterbury - Otago	36:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL
- Waikato
New Zealand NPC
22.08.26	Waikato - Counties Manukau	45:12 ✺
15.08.26	Southland - Waikato	32:31 ✺
07.08.26	Taranaki - Waikato	32:38 ✺
30.07.26	Waikato - Bay of Plenty	38:26 ✺
10.10.25	Otago - Waikato	44:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
10.10.25	Otago - Waikato	44:41
24.09.23	Waikato - Otago	47:7
17.09.22	Otago - Waikato	27:20
05.11.21	Waikato - Otago	27:25
28.09.19	Otago - Waikato	45:35
26.10.18	Waikato - Otago	36:13
13.10.18	Waikato - Otago	19:23

Otago - Waikato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide