Match Info

Bunnings NPC - Round 1

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Waikato Stadium (Hamilton) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	17:10	Stan Sport
New Zealand	19:10	Sky Sport 1
International	07:10	RugbyPass TV


	Waikato		Bay of Plenty

	1	X	2
	2.01	26	1.8
	2.16	22.06	1.77	Watch
	1.92	23.45	1.73
	2.01	26	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.16)	24.38 ↑ (22.06)	1.78 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waikato
45%

Draw
3.7%

Bay of Plenty
51.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.1%

4.2%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waikato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Bay of Plenty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Waikato - Bay of Plenty Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Waikato will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Bay of Plenty will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (35 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 26)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waikato won 1.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Waikato won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 385:380. (average 27.5:27.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Waikato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 157:155. (average 26.2:25.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waikato
New Zealand NPC
10.10.25	Otago - Waikato	44:41 ✺
03.10.25	Waikato - Northland	25:19 ✺
27.09.25	Bay of Plenty - Waikato	41:5 ✺
20.09.25	Tasman - Waikato	24:29 ✺
12.09.25	Waikato - North Harbour	29:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWLWW
- Bay of Plenty
New Zealand NPC
17.10.25	Otago - Bay of Plenty	41:17 ✺
10.10.25	Bay of Plenty - Tasman	27:7 ✺
03.10.25	Wellington - Bay of Plenty	26:33 ✺
27.09.25	Bay of Plenty - Waikato	41:5 ✺
21.09.25	Manawatu - Bay of Plenty	19:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
27.09.25	Bay of Plenty - Waikato	41:5
10.08.24	Waikato - Bay of Plenty	21:36
11.08.23	Bay of Plenty - Waikato	19:15
08.10.22	Waikato - Bay of Plenty	27:34
01.10.22	Waikato - Bay of Plenty	35:34
29.10.21	Bay of Plenty - Waikato	33:37
07.11.20	Waikato - Bay of Plenty	30:33

Waikato - Bay of Plenty: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide