Match Info

Bunnings NPC - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rugby Park Stadium (Invercargill) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	15:05	Stan Sport
New Zealand	17:05	Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 2
International	05:05	RugbyPass TV


	Southland		Otago

	1	X	2
	3.95	18	1.28
	4.27	28.21	1.24	Watch
	3.73	26.24	1.2
	4.1	30	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (4.31)	25.61 ↑ (25.25)	1.24 ↓ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southland
22.7%

Draw
3.6%

Otago
73.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.7%

3.7%

74.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Otago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Southland - Otago Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:35

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 29)
2nd Half (7 - 12)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southland won 1.

In this match, Otago is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Southland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 302:454. (average 21.6:32.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Southland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 176:220. (average 22:27.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southland
New Zealand NPC
03.10.25	North Harbour - Southland	15:14 ✺
26.09.25	Southland - Tasman	38:55 ✺
19.09.25	Wellington - Southland	75:19 ✺
14.09.25	Southland - Counties Manukau	10:64 ✺
06.09.25	Southland - Canterbury	14:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Otago
New Zealand NPC
24.10.25	Canterbury - Otago	36:28 ✺
17.10.25	Otago - Bay of Plenty	41:17 ✺
10.10.25	Otago - Waikato	44:41 ✺
03.10.25	Auckland - Otago	17:51 ✺
26.09.25	Otago - North Harbour	41:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
02.08.25	Southland - Otago	15:24
09.08.24	Southland - Otago	22:13
26.08.23	Otago - Southland	31:21
20.08.22	Southland - Otago	32:37
07.08.21	Otago - Southland	26:19
06.11.20	Southland - Otago	32:15
17.08.19	Otago - Southland	41:22

Southland - Otago: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide