The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Section Paloise 71.3%
Draw 3.9%
Clermont 24.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
69.6%
4.2%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.4%
4%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Section Paloise - Clermont Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:22
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kaulashvili L.
1. Akhaladze G.
2. Montoya J.
2. Massa B.
3. Papidze G.
3. Dzmanashvili G.
4. Jolmes T.
4. Michaux L.
5. Capelli M.
5. Ceyte T.
6. Whitelock L. (C)
6. Tixeront K.
7. Credoz L.
7. Hemery A.
8. Isa F.
8. Sowakula P.
9. Daubagna T.
9. Jauneau B. (C)
10. Simmonds J.
10. Plummer H.
11. Grandidier-Nkanang A.
11. Raka A.
12. Brau-Boirie F.
12. Darricarrere L.
13. Gailleton E.
13. Loaloa A.
14. Attissogbe T.
14. Delguy B.
15. Maddocks J.
15. Hamdaoui K.
Substitutes
16. Rey L.
16. Fourcade E.
17. Biziwu D.
17. Lotrian S.
18. Maximin J.
18. Simmons R.
19. Auradou H.
19. Tolofua S.
20. Zegueur S.
20. Muarua P.
21. Robson D.
21. Zamora L.
22. Desperes A.
22. Simone I.
23. Laclayat T.
23. Tutisani G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (13 - 9)
4', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),
5', Maddocks J. (Try),
6', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
9', Delguy B. 🟨,
17', Gailleton E. (Penalty Goal),
19', Whitelock L. 🟨,
20', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),
29', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
39', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (11 - 10)
51', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
56', Delguy B. (Try),
57', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
68', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
70', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),
78', Attissogbe T. (Try),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 2.
Section Paloise is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Clermont has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Section Paloise is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Section Paloise will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 452:630. (average 22.6:31.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Section Paloise won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 239:227. (average 23.9:22.7).