The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toulon 61.3%
Draw 4.1%
Section Paloise 34.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.1%
4.7%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.7%
4.9%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toulon's form might have worsened.
Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Section Paloise's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toulon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Section Paloise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Toulon - Section Paloise Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:25
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gros J.
1. Kaulashvili L.
2. Baubigny T.
2. Montoya J.
3. Sinckler K.
3. Laclayat T.
4. Rebbadj S.
4. Auradou H.
5. Ribbans D.
5. Pesenti B.
6. Mercer Z.
6. Grondona S.
7. Ollivon C.
7. Zegueur S.
8. Ludlam L. (C)
8. Gorgadze B. (C)
9. White B.
9. Garcia G.
10. Albornoz T.
10. Desperes A.
11. Tuicuvu S.
11. Grandidier-Nkanang A.
12. Brex N.
12. Brau-Boirie F.
13. Jones H.
13. Gailleton E.
14. Cowie O.
14. Rodrigo M.
15. Jaminet M.
15. Attissogbe T.
Substitutes
16. Damond P.
16. Delhommel Y.
17. Ametlla L.
17. Parrou H.
18. Kpoku J.
18. Maximin J.
19. Abadie E.
19. Credoz L.
20. Frisch A.
20. Isa F.
21. Serin B.
21. Souverbie T.
22. Keletaona L.
22. Mondinat C.
23. Gigashvili B.
23. Tokolahi S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (24 - 6)
9', Jaminet M. (Try),
12', (Missed Penalty),
12', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
13', (Missed Conversion),
16', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
22', Jaminet M. (Try),
23', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
32', Jaminet M. (Try),
37', Jones H. (Try),
37', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (17 - 14)
43', (Missed Conversion),
45', Cowie O. (Try),
45', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
50', Gigashvili B. (Try),
50', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
58', Ametlla L. 🟨,
60', Tokolahi S. (Try),
61', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
70', Grondona S. (Try),
70', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
75', Tuicuvu S. 🟨,
80', Jaminet M. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 2nd in the Promotion - Top 14 Playoffs - Semi - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 2.
Toulon has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Section Paloise shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Section Paloise may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Toulon holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for Toulon in today's match, at odds of 1.49.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toulon has recorded 14 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 545:371 (averaging 27.3:18.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toulon against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 318:141 goals (averaging 35.3:15.7 per game).
France
United Kingdom
International
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Gros J. 
Kaulashvili L. 
Montoya J. 
Sinckler K. 
White B. 
Tuicuvu S. 
Brex N. 
Rodrigo M. 
Tokolahi S. 
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