Match Info

Top 14 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Mayol (Toulon)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 4
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player


	Toulon		Section Paloise

	1	X	2
	1.06	41	8.5
	1.09	29	7
	1.04	40	9.4
	1.06	27.25	9.95	Watch
	1.04	41	12
	1.05	50	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↑ (1.04)	38.04 ↑ (35)	9.48 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-22)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulon
87.8%

Draw
2.4%

Section Paloise
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.3%

2.6%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Section Paloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Toulon - Section Paloise Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:17

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gros J. B.	1. Kaulashvili L.
2. Damond P.	2. Rey L.
3. Priso D.	3. Tokolahi S.
4. Rebbadj S.	4. Kpoku J.
5. Ribbans D. (C)	5. Picquette R.
6. Karaba J.	6. Zegueur S. (C)
7. Abadie E.	7. Credoz L.
8. Ludlam L.	8. Tuipulotu C.
9. Serin B.	9. Souverbie T.
10. Garbisi P.	10. Desperes A.
11. Ferte M.	11. Manu T.
12. Frisch A.	12. Decron N.
13. Brex N.	13. Klemenczak O.
14. Rebbadj R.	14. Arfeuil G.
15. Domon M.	15. Luc A.
Substitutes
16. Baubigny T.	16. Delhommel Y.
17. Brennan D.	17. Parrou H.
18. Alainu'uese B.	18. Jolmes T.
19. Ollivon C.	19. Maximin J.
20. Garcia M.	20. Isa F.
21. White B.	21. Daubagna T.
22. Nonu M.	22. Mondinat C.
23. Sinckler K.	23. Papidze G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 3)
16', Rebbadj R. (Try),
16', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
28', Abadie E. (Try),
29', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
33', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (19 - 14)
41', Frisch A. (Try),
41', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
45', Ribbans D. (Try),
53', Isa F. (Try),
53', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
55', Nonu M. (Try),
55', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
73', Manu T. (Try),
74', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 3.

Section Paloise may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Toulon is the obvious favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 521:339. (average 27.4:17.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 306:141. (average 34:15.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Toulonnais
French Top 14
28.09.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon	35:32 ✺
13.09.25	Toulon - Castres	16:12 ✺
06.09.25	Montpellier - Toulon	17:27 ✺
21.06.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon	39:24 ✺
14.06.25	Toulon - Castres	52:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLW
- Section Paloise
French Top 14
27.09.25	Section Paloise - Lyon	40:15 ✺
20.09.25	Clermont - Section Paloise	50:27 ✺
13.09.25	Section Paloise - Stade Français	34:10 ✺
06.09.25	Castres - Section Paloise	15:17 ✺
07.06.25	Section Paloise - La Rochelle	32:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
17.05.25	Section Paloise - Toulon	25:21
21.12.24	Toulon - Section Paloise	56:25
24.02.24	Section Paloise - Toulon	17:9
02.12.23	Toulon - Section Paloise	36:13
28.01.23	Toulon - Section Paloise	27:16
01.10.22	Section Paloise - Toulon	17:34
21.05.22	Toulon - Section Paloise	37:20

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