Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 1

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday


	Poverty Bay		East Coast

	1	X	2
	5.25	33	1.15
	5.16	28	1.17
	5.2	33	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↑ (3.84)	31.33 ↑ (28)	1.16 ↓ (1.26)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poverty Bay
17.7%

Draw
2.9%

East Coast
79.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

3.3%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poverty Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Poverty Bay's form might have worsened.

East Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting East Coast's recent form is better than expected.

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poverty Bay won 3.

In this match, East Coast is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Poverty Bay won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 184:138. (average 30.7:23).

Including home matches between the teams, Poverty Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 141:96. (average 35.3:24).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poverty Bay Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
04.10.24	Mid Canterbury - Poverty Bay	47:24
27.09.24	Poverty Bay - Thames Valley	17:71
20.09.24	Poverty Bay - King Country	15:49 ✺
13.09.24	Buller - Poverty Bay	36:28 ✺
06.09.24	Poverty Bay - Wairarapa Bush	24:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- East Coast Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
11.10.24	King Country - East Coast	34:31 ✺
04.10.24	East Coast - Wairarapa Bush	45:32 ✺
27.09.24	South Canterbury - East Coast	32:15
20.09.24	West Coast - East Coast	37:19 ✺
13.09.24	East Coast - Thames Valley	45:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
30.08.24	East Coast - Poverty Bay	23:17
29.10.21	Poverty Bay - East Coast	28:31
04.10.19	Poverty Bay - East Coast	24:20
21.09.18	East Coast - Poverty Bay	19:26
15.09.17	Poverty Bay - East Coast	35:15
26.08.16	Poverty Bay - East Coast	54:30

Poverty Bay - East Coast: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide