Match Info

Top 14 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Paris La Défense Arena (Nanterre)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 4
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports Player


	Racing Métro		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	1.25	26	4
	1.28	27	3.65
	1.26	23	4.03
	1.25	25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.37)	25.25 ↑ (15)	3.86 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Métro
72.6%

Draw
3.6%

Montpellier
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

6.1%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

5.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Métro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Métro's performance.

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Métro than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Racing Métro - Montpellier Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Racing Métro will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Montpellier will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing Métro: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing Métro (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Montpellier (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:24

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gogichashvili G.	1. Abuladze N.
2. Tarrit J.	2. Riccitelli R.
3. Kharaishvili G.	3. Hounkpatin W.
4. Hill J.	4. Verhaeghe F.
5. Lainault T.	5. Duguid T.
6. Kpoku J.	6. Camara Y.
7. Tagitagivalu L.	7. Uhila M.
8. Hughes N.	8. Masibaka A.
9. Carbonneau L.	9. Bernadet A.
10. Seunes U.	10. Vincent T.
11. Spring M.	11. Rates M.
12. Tuisova J.	12. Anyanwu L.
13. Habosi V.	13. Vincent A.
14. Hulleu W.	14. Taofifenua D.
15. Pricsiantelli G.	15. Banks T.
Substitutes
16. Escobar D.	16. Tolofua C.
17. Kolingar H.	17. Erdocio B.
18. Baudonne M.	18. Tauleigne M.
19. Joseph J.	19. Nouchi L.
20. Zinzen N.	20. Becognee A.
21. Gibert A.	21. Reus H.
22. Manu J.	22. Martin K.
23. Bamba D.	23. Japaridze L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (13 - 13)
2', Hulleu W. (Try),
2', Seunes U. (Conversion Goal),
5', Vincent T. (Penalty Goal),
8', Hounkpatin W. (Try),
8', Vincent T. (Conversion Goal),
17', Seunes U. (Penalty Goal),
24', Vincent T. (Penalty Goal),
35', Seunes U. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (19 - 12)
47', Verhaeghe F. 🟥,
50', Joseph J. (Try),
51', Seunes U. (Conversion Goal),
53', Hulleu W. (Try),
54', Pricsiantelli G. (Conversion Goal),
60', Nouchi L. (Try),
68', Bamba D. 🟨,
75', Tauleigne M. (Try),
75', Reus H. (Conversion Goal),
77', Habosi V. (Try),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing Métro won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Racing Métro is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing Métro won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 434:514. (average 21.7:25.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing Métro won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 287:235. (average 28.7:23.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Métro 92
French Top 14
04.10.25	Castres - Racing Métro	20:16 ✺
27.09.25	Racing Métro - Clermont	43:31 ✺
20.09.25	Perpignan - Racing Métro	15:28 ✺
14.09.25	Racing Métro - Bordeaux Bègles	44:32 ✺
06.09.25	Lyon - Racing Métro	32:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWL
- Montpellier Hérault RC
French Top 14
04.10.25	Montpellier - La Rochelle	37:13 ✺
27.09.25	Montauban - Montpellier	22:22 ✺
20.09.25	Montpellier - Toulouse	44:14 ✺
13.09.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Montpellier	26:23 ✺
06.09.25	Montpellier - Toulon	17:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
31.05.25	Racing Métro - Montpellier	25:27
21.12.24	Montpellier - Racing Métro	21:17
17.02.24	Racing Métro - Montpellier	20:44
29.10.23	Montpellier - Racing Métro	16:19
08.01.23	Montpellier - Racing Métro	17:12
22.10.22	Racing Métro - Montpellier	38:31
21.05.22	Montpellier - Racing Métro	22:13

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