Match Info

Pacific Nations Cup - Round 3

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Samoa		Fiji

	1	X	2
	6	26	1.1
	8.4	35	1.06
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.2 ↓ (8.4)	30.5 ↓ (35)	1.08 ↑ (1.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-21)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samoa
12.7%

Draw
3%

Fiji
84.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.9%

2.6%

86.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Fiji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Samoa - Fiji Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Fiji will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 17:38

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (15 - 12)
4', Anae P. (Try),
10', Esekia Iona R. (Penalty Goal),
13', Ikanivere T. (Try),
19', Lam J. (Try),
20', Esekia Iona R. (Conversion Goal),
37', Tamanivalu S. (Try),
38', Muntz C. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 17)
60', Kuruvoli S. (Try),
61', Muntz C. (Conversion Goal),
65', Muntz C. (Penalty Goal),
80', Valetini K. (Try),
80+2', Valetini K. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samoa won 1.

Samoa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fiji is the obvious favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Samoa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 228:306. (average 20.7:27.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samoa rugby
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
22.08.25	Tonga - Samoa	30:16 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
18.07.25	Samoa - Scotland	12:41 ✺
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
21.09.24	USA - Samoa	13:18 ✺
15.09.24	Samoa - Japan	27:49 ✺
30.08.24	Samoa - Tonga	43:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW
- Fiji rugby
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
29.08.25	Fiji - Tonga	32:10 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
11.07.25	Fiji - Scotland	29:14 ✺
05.07.25	Australia - Fiji	21:18 ✺
23.11.24	Ireland - Fiji	52:17 ✺
16.11.24	Spain - Fiji	19:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
23.08.24	Fiji - Samoa	42:16
Friendly International Rugby Union
28.07.23	Samoa - Fiji	19:33
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
15.07.22	Fiji - Samoa	20:23
10.08.19	Fiji - Samoa	10:3
08.06.18	Fiji - Samoa	24:22
14.07.17	Samoa - Fiji	16:38
18.06.16	Fiji - Samoa	26:16

Samoa - Fiji: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide