Match Info

WORLD: Pacific Nations Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Chichibunomiya Rugby Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1
Japan	J sports 4
Montenegro	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
United-kingdom	TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1


	Samoa		Japan

	1	X	2
	3.3	21	1.33
	3.35	27	1.34
	3.49	28.36	1.34	Watch
	3.25	21	1.36
	3.42	23	1.34
	3.35	27	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.97)	24.56 ↓ (29)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samoa
27.5%

Draw
3.8%

Japan
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

3.2%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Samoa - Japan Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:33

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Seiuli A.	1. Miura S.
2. Malolo S.	2. Harada M.
3. Fepulea'i M.	3. Shuhei T.
4. Nee-Nee B.	4. Uluiviti R.
5. Slade S.	5. Dearns W.
6. McFarland T. (C)	6. Fakatava A.
7. Moore-Aiono I.	7. Shimokawa K.
8. Petelo-Mapu I.	8. Makisi F.
9. Matavao M.	9. Fujiwara S.
10. Esekia Iona R.	10. Tatekawa H. (C)
11. Alofipo E.	11. Tuitama M.
12. Leiua A.	12. McCurran N.
13. Lalomilo L.	13. Riley D.
14. Tuitama T.	14. Osada T.
15. Alosio T.	15. Seung-Sin L.
Substitutes
16. Tolai L.	16. Matsuoka K.
17. Tuala A.	17. Okabe T.
18. Toomalatai C.	18. Tamefusa K.
19. Curry M.	19. Mapusua I.
20. Taramai M.	20. Costley T.
21. Tusitala D.	21. Koyama T.
22. Moleli A.	22. Kajimura Y.
23. Nanai M.	23. Takahashi T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (13 - 28)
6', Riley D. (Try),
7', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
10', Alofipo E. 🟨,
10', (Penalty Try),
13', Tuitama T. (Try),
14', Esekia Iona R. (Conversion Goal),
16', Osada T. (Try),
17', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
25', Esekia Iona R. (Penalty Goal),
29', Esekia Iona R. (Penalty Goal),
39', Seung-Sin L. (Try),
40', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 21)
44', Shimokawa K. (Try),
45', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
52', Matavao M. (Try),
53', Esekia Iona R. (Conversion Goal),
58', Fujiwara S. (Try),
59', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
72', Lalomilo L. (Try),
73', Esekia Iona R. (Conversion Goal),
79', Takahashi T. (Try),
80+1', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Japan is Qualified for Pacific Nations Cup (Play Offs Semi~finals)

Samoa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Japan is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Samoa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 84-147.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samoa rugby
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
30.08.24	Samoa - Tonga	43:17 ✺
23.08.24	Fiji - Samoa	42:16 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
12.07.24	Samoa - Spain	34:30 ✺
05.07.24	Samoa - Italy	33:25 ✺
Rugby World Cup
07.10.23	England - Samoa	18:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL
- Japan rugby
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
07.09.24	Japan - USA	41:24 ✺
25.08.24	Canada - Japan	28:55 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
21.07.24	Japan - Italy	14:42 ✺
13.07.24	Japan - Georgia	23:25 ✺
06.07.24	Japan - Maori All Blacks	26:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Rugby World Cup
28.09.23	Japan - Samoa	28:22
Friendly International Rugby Union
22.07.23	Japan - Samoa	22:24
Rugby World Cup
05.10.19	Japan - Samoa	38:19
03.10.15	Samoa - Japan	5:26
Friendly International Rugby Union
30.05.14	Japan - Samoa	33:14

Samoa - Japan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide