Match Info
EUROPE: Six Nations - Round 4Date: 8 March 2025, SaturdayLocation: Murrayfield (Edinburgh)Referee: Piardi A. (Ita)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Scotland |
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Wales |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.15 |
41 |
6.5 |
|
 |
1.1 |
34 |
6.5 |
|
 |
1.12 |
35 |
6.8 |
|
 |
1.14 |
40 |
6.5 |
Watch |
 |
1.17 |
34 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.13 |
26 |
7.95 |
|
 |
1.12 |
35 |
6.8 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.13 ↑ (1.09) |
35 ↓ (41.33) |
6.65 ↓ (7.98) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 50.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)
- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Scotland 83.1% | Draw 2.7% | Wales 14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Scotland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Wales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Scotland - Wales Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:18 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Schoeman P.
| 1. Smith N.
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2. Cherry D.
| 2. Dee E.
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3. Fagerson Z.
| 3. WillGriff J.
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4. Gray J.
| 4. Rowlands W.
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5. Gilchrist G.
| 5. Jenkins D.
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6. Ritchie J.
| 6. Morgan J.
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7. Darge R.
| 7. Reffell T.
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8. Dempsey J.
| 8. Faletau T.
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9. White B.
| 9. Williams T.
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10. Russell F.
| 10. Anscombe G.
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11. van der Merwe D.
| 11. Mee E.
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12. Jordan T.
| 12. Thomas B.
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13. Jones H.
| 13. Llewellyn M.
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14. Graham D.
| 14. Rogers T.
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15. Kinghorn B.
| 15. Murray B.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Ashman E.
| 16. Lake D.
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17. Sutherland R.
| 17. Thomas G.
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18. Hurd W.
| 18. Assiratti K.
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19. Brown G.
| 19. Williams T.
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20. Fagerson M.
| 20. Wainwright A.
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21. Horne G.
| 21. Williams R.
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22. McDowall S.
| 22. Evans J.
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23. Rowe K.
| 23. Roberts J.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Townsend G.
| . Sherratt M.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (28 - 8)
- 3', Anscombe G. (Penalty Goal),
- 5', Kinghorn B. (Try),
- 6', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 10', Rogers T. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
- 11', Jordan T. (Try),
- 12', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Murray B. (Try),
- 25', Anscombe G. (Missed Conversion),
- 27', Graham D. (Try),
- 28', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', WillGriff J. 🟨,
- 33', Jordan T. (Try),
- 34', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Reffell T. ↓, Assiratti K. ↑,
- 36', Darge R. ↓, Fagerson M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (7 - 21)
- 41', Assiratti K. ↓, Reffell T. ↑,
- 46', Dee E. ↓, Lake D. ↑,
- 46', WillGriff J. ↓, Assiratti K. ↑,
- 46', Reffell T. ↓, Wainwright A. ↑,
- 48', Kinghorn B. (Try),
- 49', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 56', Cherry D. ↓, Ashman E. ↑,
- 56', White B. ↓, Horne G. ↑,
- 56', Smith N. ↓, Thomas G. ↑,
- 56', Anscombe G. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 61', Thomas B. (Try),
- 62', Evans J. (Conversion Goal),
- 62', Schoeman P. ↓, Sutherland R. ↑,
- 62', Fagerson Z. ↓, Hurd W. ↑,
- 62', Russell F. ↓, McDowall S. ↑,
- 63', Rowlands W. ↓, Williams T. ↑,
- 67', Gray J. ↓, Brown G. ↑,
- 67', Graham D. ↓, Rowe K. ↑,
- 68', Williams T. (Try),
- 69', Evans J. (Conversion Goal),
- 69', Williams T. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
- 80+4', Llewellyn M. (Try),
- 80+4', Evans J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 and 6).Last 5 head-to-head matches Scotland won 3. In this match Scotland is certain favorite.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Scotland won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 276:320 (average 18.4:21.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Six Nations | | | 03.02.24 | Wales - Scotland | 26:27 | | 11.02.23 | Scotland - Wales | 35:7 | | 12.02.22 | Wales - Scotland | 20:17 | | 13.02.21 | Scotland - Wales | 24:25 | | 31.10.20 | Wales - Scotland | 10:14 | | 09.03.19 | Scotland - Wales | 11:18 | | Friendly International Rugby Union | | | 03.11.18 | Wales - Scotland | 21:10 |
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