Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
United-kingdom	FloSports app
World	EPCR Rugby TV


	Zebre		Section Paloise

	1	X	2
	2.88	21	1.44
	3	23	1.4
	2.97	22.93	1.44
	2.88	23	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.05)	22.48 ↑ (21.67)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zebre
31.4%

Draw
4.1%

Section Paloise
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

4.2%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zebre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Section Paloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Zebre - Section Paloise Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Section Paloise will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:29

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hasa M.	1. Biziwu D.
2. Di Bartolomeo T.	2. Delhommel Y.
3. Neculai I.	3. Zabala J.
4. Canali M.	4. Jolmes T.
5. Krumov L. (C)	5. Capelli M.
6. Ortombina A.	6. Whitelock L. (C)
7. Stavile B.	7. Credoz L.
8. Odiase D.	8. Tuipulotu C.
9. Garcia G.	9. Daubagna T.
10. Da Re G.	10. Mondinat C.
11. Trulla J.	11. Grandidier-Nkanang A.
12. Zanon M.	12. Decron N.
13. Bertaccini G.	13. Gailleton E.
14. Belloni M.	14. Laporte C.
15. Montemauri G.	15. Luc A.
Substitutes
16. Quattrini G.	16. Rey L.
17. Franceschetto L.	17. Kaulashvili L.
18. Pitinari J.	18. Tokolahi S.
19. Ferrari G.	19. Picquette R.
20. Licata G.	20. Gorgadze B.
21. Fusco A.	21. Souverbie T.
22. Roger M.	22. Brau-Boirie F.
23. Mazza D.	23. Maddocks J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 5)
3', Stavile B. (Try),
3', Da Re G. (Conversion Goal),
26', Trulla J. (Try),
27', Da Re G. (Conversion Goal),
39', Stavile B. 🟨,
40+3', Tuipulotu C. (Try),
2nd Half (17 - 10)
49', Pitinari J. (Try),
49', Da Re G. (Conversion Goal),
66', Stavile B. (Try),
66', Da Re G. (Conversion Goal),
72', Gorgadze B. (Try),
73', Licata G. 🟨,
76', Da Re G. (Penalty Goal),
78', Butlin T. R. (Try),

Preview

In this match, Section Paloise is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 74:108. (average 24.7:36).

Including home match between the teams, Zebre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:38.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zebre Rugby
United Rugby Championship
28.03.26	Zebre - Ulster	12:28 ✺
20.03.26	Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre	36:17 ✺
28.02.26	Munster - Zebre	21:7 ✺
31.01.26	Zebre - Connacht	15:31 ✺
24.01.26	Zebre - Glasgow Warriors	21:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Section Paloise
French Top 14
28.03.26	Section Paloise - Racing Métro	27:17 ✺
21.03.26	La Rochelle - Section Paloise	20:6 ✺
01.03.26	Section Paloise - Bordeaux Bègles	39:17 ✺
22.02.26	Perpignan - Section Paloise	40:24 ✺
01.02.26	Section Paloise - Toulon	32:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
20.01.24	Section Paloise - Zebre	28:27
13.01.18	Section Paloise - Zebre	42:14
21.10.17	Zebre - Section Paloise	33:38

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