Match Info
Rugby Championship - Round 2Date: 23 August 2025, SaturdayLocation: Cape Town Stadium (Cape Town)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
France | CANAL+ France |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV7 |
United-kingdom | Sky Sports Action |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
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South Africa |
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Australia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.13 |
34 |
6 |
|
 |
1.16 |
21 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.13 |
30 |
5.6 |
|
 |
1.06 |
35.30 |
9.58 |
Watch |
 |
1.15 |
34 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.12 |
31 |
6 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.13 ↓ (1.17) |
30.88 ↓ (32) |
6.36 ↑ (5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 49.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
South Africa 82.4% | Draw 3% | Australia 14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Africa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)South Africa - Australia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -6.5 - South Africa (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. South Africa (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:18 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Nche O.
| 1. Robertson T.
|
2. Marx M.
| 2. Pollard B.
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3. du Toit T.
| 3. Tupou T.
|
4. Snyman R.
| 4. Frost N.
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5. Nortje R.
| 5. Skelton W.
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6. van Staden M.
| 6. Hooper T.
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7. Mostert F.
| 7. Mcreight F. (C)
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8. du Preez J.
| 8. Valetini R.
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9. Williams G.
| 9. White N.
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10. Pollard H.
| 10. O'Connor J.
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11. Kolbe C.
| 11. Toole C.
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12. de Allende D.
| 12. Ikitau L.
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13. Kriel J. (C)
| 13. Sua'ali'i J.
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14. Moodie C.
| 14. Jorgensen M.
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15. Le Roux W.
| 15. Wright T.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. van der Merwe M.
| 16. Paenga-Amosa B.
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17. Venter B.
| 17. Bell A.
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18. Louw W.
| 18. Nonggorr Z.
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19. Etzebeth E.
| 19. Williams J.
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20. de Jager L.
| 20. De Crespigny N.
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21. Smith K.
| 21. McDermott T.
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22. Reinach C.
| 22. Edmed T.
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23. Feinberg-Mngomezulu S.
| 23. Kellaway A.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Erasmus J.
| . Schmidt J.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (20 - 10)
- 2', Pollard H. (Penalty Goal),
- 4', Wright T. ↓, Kellaway A. ↑,
- 6', Pollard H. (Penalty Goal),
- 8', Toole C. (Try),
- 9', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Moodie C. (Try),
- 12', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
- 13', White N. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 35', Smith K. (Try),
- 36', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', O'Connor J. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 12)
- 41', Sua'ali'i J. ↓, Edmed T. ↑,
- 45', Nortje R. ↓, Etzebeth E. ↑,
- 45', Snyman R. ↓, de Jager L. ↑,
- 47', Jorgensen M. (Try),
- 48', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
- 48', Skelton W. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 49', Robertson T. ↓, Bell A. ↑,
- 53', Tupou T. ↓, Nonggorr Z. ↑,
- 55', Moodie C. ↓, Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. ↑,
- 57', Pollard H. (Penalty Goal),
- 61', Williams G. ↓, Reinach C. ↑,
- 64', du Toit T. ↓, Louw W. ↑,
- 64', Pollard B. ↓, Paenga-Amosa B. ↑,
- 67', Mostert F. ↓, Esterhuizen A. ↑,
- 68', Paenga-Amosa B. (Try),
- 71', Nche O. ↓, Venter B. ↑,
- 74', Etzebeth E. (Try),
- 75', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', Hooper T. ↓, De Crespigny N. ↑,
- 77', Marx M. ↓, van der Merwe M. ↑,
- 78', Fassi A. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 3 and 2).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 4.South Africa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Australia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, South Africa is the undisputed favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 510:373. (average 25.5:18.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rugby Championship | | | 16.08.25 | South Africa - Australia | 22:38 | | 17.08.24 | Australia - South Africa | 12:30 | | 10.08.24 | Australia - South Africa | 7:33 | | 08.07.23 | South Africa - Australia | 43:12 | | 03.09.22 | Australia - South Africa | 8:24 | | 27.08.22 | Australia - South Africa | 25:17 | | 18.09.21 | Australia - South Africa | 30:17 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;