Match Info
Nations Championship - Round 3Date: 18 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Kings Park Stadium (Durban)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
Ireland | Virgin Media Player |
Italy | SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Sport 3 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 2, Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, ITV 1, ITV X, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C, STV, STV Player, UTV, Virgin TV Go app |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
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South Africa |
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Wales |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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Watch |
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1.01 |
42.8 |
9.03 |
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1 |
34 |
17 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.01 ↑ (1) |
38.4 ↓ (51) |
13.02 ↑ (13) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 70.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-39)
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
South Africa 90.6% | Draw 2.4% | Wales 7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)The chances for Wales have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.South Africa - Wales Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Wales will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 55:16 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Steenekamp G.
| 1. Carre R.
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2. Marx M.
| 2. Lake D. (C)
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3. Sadie C.
| 3. Lewis D.
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4. Wiese C.
| 4. Williams T.
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5. Van Heerden R.
| 5. Beard A.
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6. de Villiers P.
| 6. Mann A.
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7. du Toit P. (C)
| 7. Morgan J.
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8. Wiese J.
| 8. Wainwright A.
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9. Reinach C.
| 9. Williams T.
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10. Moyo V.
| 10. Edwards D.
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11. Arendse K.
| 11. Mee E.
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12. de Allende D.
| 12. Thomas B.
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13. Kriel J.
| 13. Llewellyn M.
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14. Williams J.
| 14. Rees-Zammit L.
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15. Fassi A.
| 15. Murray B.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Venter A.
| 16. Elias R.
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17. Wessels J.
| 17. Smith N.
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18. Louw W.
| 18. Warren B.
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19. Dixon B.
| 19. Thomas F.
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20. van Staden M.
| 20. Reffell T.
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21. Jantjies H.
| 21. Botham J.
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22. Libbok M.
| 22. Morgan-Williams R.
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23. Willemse D.
| 23. Hawkins J.
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| Coaches |
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. Erasmus J.
| . Tandy S.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (19 - 0)
- 5', Wiese J. (Try),
- 6', Moyo V. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', Reinach C. (Try),
- 16', Moyo V. (Conversion Goal),
- 40+1', Kriel J. (Try),
- 40+1', Moyo V. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (24 - 0)
- 41', Williams J. (Try),
- 42', Moyo V. (Conversion Goal),
- 47', Wiese C. ↓, Dixon B. ↑,
- 47', Moyo V. ↓, Libbok M. ↑,
- 47', Marx M. ↓, Venter A. ↑,
- 51', Sadie C. ↓, Louw W. ↑,
- 51', Steenekamp G. ↓, Wessels J. ↑,
- 51', Reinach C. ↓, Jantjies H. ↑,
- 60', Williams T. ↓, Thomas F. ↑,
- 60', Lewis D. ↓, Warren B. ↑,
- 63', Jantjies H. (Try),
- 63', Libbok M. (Missed Conversion),
- 64', Fassi A. ↓, Willemse D. ↑,
- 66', Warren B. 🟨,
- 66', Mann A. ↓, Reffell T. ↑,
- 69', Arendse K. (Try),
- 70', Libbok M. (Missed Conversion),
- 73', Williams T. ↓, Morgan-Williams R. ↑,
- 79', de Villiers P. (Try),
- 80', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 5. In this match, South Africa is the obvious favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 584:316. (average 29.2:15.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Friendly International Rugby Union | | | 29.11.25 | Wales - South Africa | 0:73 | | 23.11.24 | Wales - South Africa | 12:45 | | 22.06.24 | South Africa - Wales | 41:13 | | 19.08.23 | Wales - South Africa | 16:52 | | 16.07.22 | South Africa - Wales | 30:14 | | 09.07.22 | South Africa - Wales | 12:13 | | 02.07.22 | South Africa - Wales | 32:29 |
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