Match Info
Nations Championship - Round 1Date: 4 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Ellis Park Stadium (Johannesburg)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
France | TF 1 |
Ireland | Virgin Media One, Virgin Media Player |
Italy | SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
Spain | Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
Switzerland | TF 1 |
United-kingdom | ITV 1, ITV 4, ITV X, Virgin TV Go app |
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 |
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South Africa |
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England |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.13 |
23 |
6.5 |
|
 |
|
|
|
Watch |
 |
1.12 |
30.14 |
5.12 |
|
 |
1.14 |
35 |
5.8 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.13 ↓ (1.14) |
29.38 ↓ (34) |
5.81 ↑ (5.5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
South Africa 81.1% | Draw 3.1% | England 15.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:South Africa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)England has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)South Africa - England Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 52.5 - over (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:21 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Nche O.
| 1. Genge E.
|
2. Marx M.
| 2. George J. (C)
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3. du Toit T.
| 3. Heyes J.
|
4. du Toit P. (C)
| 4. Coles A.
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5. Nortje R.
| 5. Martin G.
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6. de Villiers P.
| 6. Chessum O.
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7. Hanekom C.
| 7. Curry T.
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8. Wiese J.
| 8. Earl B.
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9. Williams G.
| 9. van Poortvliet J.
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10. Libbok M.
| 10. Smith F.
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11. Arendse K.
| 11. Murley C.
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12. de Allende D.
| 12. Atkinson S.
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13. Kriel J.
| 13. Freeman T.
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14. Kolbe C.
| 14. Feyi-Waboso I.
|
15. Willemse D.
| 15. Smith M.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Wessels J.
| 16. Cowan-Dickie L.
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17. Steenekamp G.
| 17. Obano B.
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18. Porthen Z.
| 18. Opoku-Fordjour A.
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19. van Staden M.
| 19. Ewels C.
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20. Dixon B.
| 20. Pepper G.
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21. Reinach C.
| 21. Pollock H.
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22. Esterhuizen A.
| 22. Mitchell A.
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23. Moodie C.
| 23. Slade H.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Erasmus J.
| . Borthwick S.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (17 - 14)
- 3', du Toit T. (Try),
- 4', Kolbe C. (Missed Conversion),
- 6', Kolbe C. (Try),
- 7', Kolbe C. (Conversion Goal),
- 9', Nche O. ↓, Steenekamp G. ↑,
- 12', Arendse K. (Try),
- 13', Kolbe C. (Missed Conversion),
- 28', Arendse K. 🟨,
- 36', Genge E. (Try),
- 36', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
- 40+1', Martin G. (Try),
- 40+2', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (28 - 7)
- 45', Williams G. (Try),
- 46', Kolbe C. (Conversion Goal),
- 50', Hanekom C. ↓, Dixon B. ↑,
- 50', de Villiers P. ↓, van Staden M. ↑,
- 51', du Toit T. ↓, Porthen Z. ↑,
- 55', van Poortvliet J. ↓, Mitchell A. ↑,
- 55', Curry T. ↓, Pepper G. ↑,
- 56', Murley C. ↓, Slade H. ↑,
- 57', Kriel J. (Try),
- 58', George J. ↓, Cowan-Dickie L. ↑,
- 58', Kolbe C. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Martin G. ↓, Pollock H. ↑,
- 60', Genge E. ↓, Obano B. ↑,
- 67', Wiese J. ↓, Esterhuizen A. ↑,
- 67', Steenekamp G. ↓, Wessels J. ↑,
- 68', Heyes J. ↓, Opoku-Fordjour A. ↑,
- 69', Williams G. ↓, Reinach C. ↑,
- 69', Arendse K. ↓, Moodie C. ↑,
- 70', Coles A. (Try),
- 71', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Freeman T. 🟨,
- 74', Pepper G. 🟨,
- 75', Marx M. (Try),
- 76', Kolbe C. (Conversion Goal),
- 76', Coles A. ↓, Ewels C. ↑,
- 77', Esterhuizen A. ↓, Wiese J. ↑,
- 80', Dixon B. (Try),
- 80+1', Kolbe C. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 4.South Africa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, South Africa is the undeniable favorite.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 209:179. (average 23.2:19.9).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;