Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Aviva Stadium (Dublin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Premier Sports Rugby Asia
Australia	Stan Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV6
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports Ultimate


	Ireland		South Africa

	1	X	2
	3.05	25	1.38	Watch
				Watch
	3.12	50	1.34
	3.14	21	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.88)	32 ↑ (19.5)	1.37 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ireland
29.8%

Draw
2.9%

South Africa
67.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.9%

4.7%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ireland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

South Africa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ireland - South Africa Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:28

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Porter A.	1. Venter B.
2. Sheehan D.	2. Marx M.
3. Furlong T.	3. du Toit T.
4. Ryan J.	4. Etzebeth E.
5. Beirne T.	5. Nortje R.
6. Baird R.	6. Kolisi S.
7. van der Flier J.	7. du Toit P.
8. Sweetman-Doris C. (C)	8. Wiese J.
9. Gibson-Park J.	9. Reinach C.
10. Prendergast S.	10. Feinberg-Mngomezulu S.
11. Lowe J.	11. Kolbe C.
12. Aki B.	12. de Allende D.
13. Ringrose G.	13. Kriel J.
14. O'Brien T.	14. Moodie C.
15. Hansen M.	15. Willemse D.
Substitutes
16. Kelleher R.	16. Grobbelaar J.
17. McCarthy P.	17. Steenekamp G.
18. Bealham F.	18. Louw W.
19. Prendergast C.	19. Snyman R.
20. Conan J.	20. Smith K.
21. Casey C.	21. Esterhuizen A.
22. Crowley J.	22. Williams G.
23. Farrell T.	23. Libbok M.
Coaches
. Farrell A.	. Erasmus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 19)
4', Willemse D. (Try),
19', Ryan J. 🟥,
34', Reinach C. (Try),
35', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
35', Prendergast S. 🟨,
37', Sheehan D. (Try),
38', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
40', Crowley J. 🟨,
40+3', Porter A. 🟨,
40+5', (Penalty Try),
2nd Half (6 - 5)
44', Prendergast S. (Penalty Goal),
46', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Try),
56', Prendergast S. (Penalty Goal),
64', McCarthy P. 🟨,
79', Williams G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ireland won 4.

South Africa is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, South Africa is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ireland won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 209:164. (average 23.2:18.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ireland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 86:34. (average 28.7:11.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ireland rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
15.11.25	Ireland - Australia	46:19 ✺
08.11.25	Ireland - Japan	41:10 ✺
01.11.25	Ireland - New Zealand	13:26 ✺
12.07.25	Portugal - Ireland	7:106 ✺
05.07.25	Georgia - Ireland	5:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLWW
- South Africa rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
15.11.25	Italy - South Africa	14:32 ✺
08.11.25	France - South Africa	17:32 ✺
01.11.25	South Africa - Japan	61:7 ✺
Rugby Championship
04.10.25	Argentina - South Africa	27:29 ✺
27.09.25	South Africa - Argentina	67:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Rugby Union
13.07.24	South Africa - Ireland	24:25
06.07.24	South Africa - Ireland	27:20
Rugby World Cup
23.09.23	South Africa - Ireland	8:13
Friendly International Rugby Union
05.11.22	Ireland - South Africa	19:16
11.11.17	Ireland - South Africa	38:3
25.06.16	South Africa - Ireland	19:13
18.06.16	South Africa - Ireland	32:26

Ireland - South Africa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide