The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stade Français 57.3%
Draw 3.9%
Toulouse 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.5%
4.5%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.2%
4.4%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stade Français has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stade Français's form might have worsened.
Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Français than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stade Français, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulouse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Stade Français - Toulouse Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Stade Français will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stade Français (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:22
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alo-Emile M.
1. Baille C.
2. Garcia A.
2. Lacombre T.
3. Alo-Emile P.
3. Ainuu D.
4. Gabrillagues P. (C)
4. Elias E.
5. Azagoh P.
5. Verge C.
6. Halaifonua T.
6. Willis J. (C)
7. Briatte R.
7. Castro-Ferreira M.
8. Tanga Mangene Y.
8. Roumat A.
9. Kerr-Barlow T.
9. Graou P.
10. Carbonel L.
10. Delpy V.
11. Dakuwaqa P.
11. Lebel M.
12. Vili T.
12. Chocobares S.
13. Ward J. C.
13. Barassi P.
14. Marchant J.
14. Thomas T.
15. Barre L.
15. Kinghorn B.
Substitutes
16. Peyresblanques L.
16. Cramont G.
17. Paiva T.
17. Bertrand B.
18. Pesenti B.
18. Brennan J.
19. Hirigoyen M.
19. Ntamack T.
20. Abadie P.
20. Banos L.
21. Foursans-Bourdette L.
21. Saito N.
22. Laloi C.
22. Delibes D.
23. Melikidze G.
23. Mallez P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (6 - 3)
17', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
27', Delpy V. (Penalty Goal),
40', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (3 - 10)
50', Elias E. (Try),
50', Delpy V. (Conversion Goal),
56', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
62', Dakuwaqa P. 🟨,
65', Delpy V. (Penalty Goal),
65', 🟥,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Stade Français will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Stade Français will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 428:566. (average 21.4:28.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Stade Français won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 243:197. (average 24.3:19.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Pts
1
Stade Toulousain
5
4
0
1
152:90
19
10
Stade Francais Paris
5
2
0
3
117:136
10
Last Results with these Odds
Stade Français - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 63.54%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
France
Portugal
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Alo-Emile M. 
Baille C. 
Garcia A. 
Alo-Emile P. 
Ainuu D. 
Elias E. 
Halaifonua T. 
Willis J. (C) 
Kerr-Barlow T. 
Dakuwaqa P. 
Ward J. C. 
Kinghorn B. 
Saito N. 
Melikidze G. 
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