Match Info

WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 5

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cape Town Stadium (Cape Town) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Grandstand ROA
Ireland	17:00	RTE 2, RTE Player
South Africa	18:00	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
United Kingdom	17:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Stormers		Munster

	1	X	2
	1.57	21	2.5
	1.47	21	2.62
	1.6	21	2.4
	1.61	22.59	2.48	Watch
	1.62	23	2.3
	1.51	23	2.71
	1.6	21	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.32)	21.8 ↓ (22.81)	2.49 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stormers
58.7%

Draw
4.2%

Munster
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.3%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stormers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stormers's form might have worsened.

Munster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Munster's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Stormers - Munster Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Stormers will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Munster will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:21

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sithole S.	1. Loughman J.
2. Dweba J.	2. Scannell N.
3. Fouche N.	3. Ryan J.
4. Smith A.	4. Kleyn J.
5. Schickerling J.	5. Beirne T.
6. Theunissen M.	6. Ahern T.
7. Dixon B.	7. Kendellen A.
8. Morabe K.	8. O'Donoghue J.
9. de Wet P.	9. Murray C.
10. Willemse D.	10. Crowley J.
11. Zas L.	11. Daly S.
12. du Plessis D.	12. Nankivell A.
13. Nel R.	13. Farrell T.
14. Hartzenberg S.	14. Nash C.
15. Gelant W.	15. Haley M.
Substitutes
16. Venter A.	16. Clarke E.
17. Harris B.	17. Ryan K.
18. Sandi S.	18. Archer S.
19. Van Heerden R.	19. Wycherley F.
20. Ewers D.	20. Quinn R.
21. Nel L.	21. Coughlan E.
22. Jantjies H.	22. Burns B.
23. Matthee J.	23. O'Brien S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 12)
6', Hartzenberg S. (Try),
6', Willemse D. (Conversion Goal),
19', Farrell T. (Try),
20', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
27', Clarke E. (Try),
33', Theunissen M. (Try),
34', Willemse D. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (20 - 7)
47', Nel R. (Try),
48', Willemse D. (Conversion Goal),
67', Coombes G. (Try),
68', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
76', Willemse D. (Penalty Goal),
79', Willemse D. (Penalty Goal),
80+10', Nel R. (Try),
80+10', Willemse D. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Stormers will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Stormers to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Stormers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 59:89 (average 14.8:22.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Stormers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 38:45 (average 19:22.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stormers Rugby
United Rugby Championship
12.10.24	Edinburgh - Stormers	38:7 ✺
05.10.24	Zebre - Stormers	5:36 ✺
28.09.24	Ospreys - Stormers	37:24 ✺
08.06.24	Glasgow Warriors - Stormers	27:10 ✺
01.06.24	Stormers - Lions	29:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW
- Munster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
12.10.24	Leinster - Munster	26:12 ✺
05.10.24	Munster - Ospreys	23:0 ✺
28.09.24	Zebre - Munster	42:33 ✺
21.09.24	Munster - Connacht	35:33 ✺
15.06.24	Munster - Glasgow Warriors	10:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
18.11.23	Munster - Stormers	10:3
27.05.23	Stormers - Munster	14:19
15.04.23	Stormers - Munster	24:26
02.10.21	Munster - Stormers	34:18

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