Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 1

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Thomond Park (Limerick)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, URC


	Munster		Glasgow Warriors

	1	X	2
	2.38	21	1.62
	2.65	20	1.51
	2.59	17.94	1.57	Watch
	2.5	19	1.48
	2.72	19	1.55
	2.65	20	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.06)	19.49 ↑ (18)	1.54 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Munster
35.6%

Draw
4.7%

Glasgow Warriors
59.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

5.1%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Munster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Munster's form might have worsened.

Glasgow Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Glasgow Warriors's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Munster - Glasgow Warriors Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Munster will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Glasgow Warriors will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Glasgow Warriors (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:26

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 7)
2nd Half (3 - 19)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Munster won 2.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Munster has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 401:410 (averaging 20.1:20.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Munster against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 228:204 goals (averaging 22.8:20.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Glasgow Warriors	3	2	1	0	95:72	13
9	Munster	3	1	1	1	72:74	9

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Glasgow Warriors: 14.93% Munster: 4.06%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Munster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
30.05.26	Blue Bulls - Munster	45:14 ✺
16.05.26	Munster - Lions	24:17 ✺
09.05.26	Connacht - Munster	26:7 ✺
25.04.26	Munster - Ulster	41:14 ✺
18.04.26	Benetton Treviso - Munster	15:45 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWW
- Glasgow Warriors
United Rugby Championship
06.06.26	Glasgow Warriors - Blue Bulls	21:22 ✺
29.05.26	Glasgow Warriors - Connacht	33:21 ✺
15.05.26	Ulster - Glasgow Warriors	22:26 ✺
08.05.26	Glasgow Warriors - Cardiff Rugby	40:17 ✺
25.04.26	Stormers - Glasgow Warriors	48:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
30.01.26	Glasgow Warriors - Munster	31:22
21.03.25	Glasgow Warriors - Munster	28:25
15.06.24	Munster - Glasgow Warriors	10:17
01.12.23	Munster - Glasgow Warriors	40:29
06.05.23	Glasgow Warriors - Munster	5:14
25.03.23	Munster - Glasgow Warriors	26:38
11.02.22	Glasgow Warriors - Munster	13:11

Upcoming Matches