Match Info

WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 3

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Thomond Park (Limerick)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Supersport Action
Asia	Premier Sports 1 Asia
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, URC


	Munster		Ospreys

	1	X	2
	1.13	34	6
	1.12	26	6
	1.16	27	5.45
	1.15	29.74	5.94	Watch
	1.14	29	5.5
	1.12	41	6.24
	1.16	27	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.15)	30.53 ↑ (29.25)	5.8 ↑ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Munster
81%

Draw
3%

Ospreys
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.5%

3.2%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Munster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Ospreys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Munster - Ospreys Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Munster will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Ospreys will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:16

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Loughman J.	1. Thomas S.
2. Scannell N.	2. Lake D.
3. Jager O.	3. Botha T.
4. Kleyn J.	4. Sutton H.
5. Beirne T.	5. Beard A.
6. O'Mahony P.	6. Ratti J.
7. Hodnett J.	7. Morgan J.
8. O'Donoghue J.	8. Morris M.
9. Casey C.	9. Morgan-Williams R.
10. Crowley J.	10. Edwards D.
11. McCarthy S.	11. Conbeer R.
12. Fitzgerald B.	12. Cokanasiga P.
13. Farrell T.	13. Watkin O.
14. Nash C.	14. Hopkins I.
15. Haley M.	15. Nagy M.
Substitutes
16. Barron D.	16. Parry S.
17. Ryan J.	17. Phillips G.
18. Archer S.	18. Iorwerth-Scott M.
19. Wycherley F.	19. Jones L.
20. Coombes G.	20. Deaves-Small H.
21. Murray C.	21. Davies L.
22. Butler T.	22. Walsh J.
23. Daly J.	23. Williams K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (18 - 0)
1', McCarthy S. (Try),
10', Crowley J. (Penalty Goal),
27', Scannell N. (Try),
40', Nash C. (Try),
2nd Half (5 - 0)
63', O'Donoghue J. (Try),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Munster won 4.

In this match Munster is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Munster won 16 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 539:278 (average 27:13.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Munster won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 373:134 (average 31.1:11.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Munster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
28.09.24	Zebre - Munster	42:33 ✺
21.09.24	Munster - Connacht	35:33 ✺
15.06.24	Munster - Glasgow Warriors	10:17 ✺
07.06.24	Munster - Ospreys	23:7 ✺
01.06.24	Munster - Ulster	29:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWW
- Ospreys Premiership Select
United Rugby Championship
28.09.24	Ospreys - Stormers	37:24 ✺
21.09.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Ospreys	23:21 ✺
07.06.24	Munster - Ospreys	23:7 ✺
01.06.24	Cardiff Rugby - Ospreys	22:33 ✺
18.05.24	Ospreys - Newport Gwent Dragons	26:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
07.06.24	Munster - Ospreys	23:7
22.03.24	Ospreys - Munster	17:27
17.02.23	Munster - Ospreys	58:3
23.10.21	Ospreys - Munster	18:10
15.11.20	Munster - Ospreys	38:22
European Rugby Champions Cup
19.01.20	Munster - Ospreys	33:6
16.11.19	Ospreys - Munster	13:32

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