Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 5

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Thomond Park (Limerick)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Munster		Connacht

	1	X	2
	1.25	26	4
	1.22	26	4.4
	1.25	23.28	4.34	Watch
	1.21	26	4.95
	1.26	26	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.25)	25.46 ↑ (23.28)	4.34 (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Munster
75%

Draw
3.6%

Connacht
21.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

74.5%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Munster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Munster - Connacht Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Munster will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:20

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 15)
2nd Half (5 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Munster won 4.

Munster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Munster is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Munster won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 501:362. (average 25.1:18.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Munster won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 331:174. (average 33.1:17.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Munster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
18.10.25	Leinster - Munster	14:31 ✺
10.10.25	Munster - Edinburgh	20:19 ✺
04.10.25	Munster - Cardiff Rugby	23:20 ✺
27.09.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Munster	21:34 ✺
31.05.25	Sharks - Munster	25:24 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWWWL
- Connacht Rugby
United Rugby Championship
17.10.25	Connacht - Blue Bulls	27:28 ✺
11.10.25	Cardiff Rugby - Connacht	14:8 ✺
27.09.25	Connacht - Benetton Treviso	26:15 ✺
17.05.25	Zebre - Connacht	12:22 ✺
10.05.25	Connacht - Edinburgh	21:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
29.03.25	Connacht - Munster	24:30
21.09.24	Munster - Connacht	35:33
11.05.24	Munster - Connacht	47:12
01.01.24	Connacht - Munster	22:9
26.11.22	Munster - Connacht	24:17
07.10.22	Connacht - Munster	20:11
01.01.22	Connacht - Munster	10:8

Upcoming Matches