The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toshiba Brave Lupus 66.4%
Draw 3.6%
Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.9%
4%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.7%
3.8%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toshiba Brave Lupus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toshiba Brave Lupus than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toshiba Brave Lupus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Toshiba Brave Lupus - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:25
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kimura S.
1. Kobayashi K.
2. Harada M.
2. Mafi A.
3. Kokaji Y.
3. Kakinaga S.
4. Ito S.
4. Jeffries S.
5. Pierce J.
5. Hockings H.
6. Frizell S.
6. Shimokawa K.
7. Sasaki T.
7. Cane S.
8. Leitch M. (C)
8. Hashimoto R.
9. Sugiyama Y.
9. Nagare Y. (C)
10. Mo'unga R.
10. Takamoto M.
11. Mori Y.
11. Ozaki T.
12. Thompson R.
12. Nakano S.
13. Tamanivalu S.
13. Punivai I.
14. Naikabula J.
14. Ozaki S.
15. Matsunaga T.
15. Kawase R.
Substitutes
16. Hashimoto D.
16. Miyazaki T.
17. Makabe T.
17. Morikawa Y.
18. Taufa L.
18. Nakano K.
19. Anise S.
19. Hosea T.
20. Tokunaga Y.
20. Yamamoto K.
21. Takahashi K.
21. Fukuda K.
22. Mano T.
22. Moriya K.
23. Collins M.
23. Niguma H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (31 - 18)
6', Takamoto M. (Penalty Goal),
8', Tokunaga Y. (Try),
10', Hashimoto R. (Try),
15', Naikabula J. (Try),
16', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
24', Naikabula J. (Try),
24', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
28', Niguma H. (Try),
28', Takamoto M. (Conversion Goal),
33', Takamoto M. (Penalty Goal),
36', Matsunaga T. (Try),
40+3', Mo'unga R. (Try),
40+5', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 15)
47', Takamoto M. (Try),
51', Punivai I. (Try),
52', Takamoto M. (Conversion Goal),
70', Thompson R. (Try),
71', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
73', Takamoto M. (Penalty Goal),
76', Hashimoto D. (Try),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Toshiba Brave Lupus won 3.
At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
In this match Toshiba Brave Lupus is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Toshiba Brave Lupus to win the game is with odds 1.37.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Toshiba Brave Lupus won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 277:353 (average 25.2:32.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Toshiba Brave Lupus won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 156:182 (average 26:30.3).
Japan
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Kimura S. 
Mafi A. 
Jeffries S. 
Pierce J. 
Tamanivalu S. 
Taufa L. 
Collins M. 
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