Match Info

League One - Round 8

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Tokyo Stadium (Tokyo)


	Toshiba Brave Lupus		Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers

	1	X	2
	1.55	25	2.47
	1.58	22.69	2.52
	1.53	23	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.42)	23.56 ↑ (20.97)	2.5 ↓ (2.94)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toshiba Brave Lupus
59.2%

Draw
3.9%

Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

4.4%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

4.7%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toshiba Brave Lupus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toshiba Brave Lupus's form might have worsened.

Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toshiba Brave Lupus than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toshiba Brave Lupus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 20)
2nd Half (26 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toshiba Brave Lupus won 4.

Toshiba Brave Lupus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kobe Steel is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Toshiba Brave Lupus will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Toshiba Brave Lupus will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Toshiba Brave Lupus won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 360:254. (average 40:28.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Toshiba Brave Lupus won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 171:122. (average 34.2:24.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toshiba Brave Lupus
Japan League One Rugby Union
06.02.26	Honda Heat - Toshiba Brave Lupus	44:38 ✺
23.01.26	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Kubota Spears	24:20 ✺
17.01.26	Urayasu D-Rocks - Toshiba Brave Lupus	27:38 ✺
10.01.26	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	47:22 ✺
28.12.25	Canon Eagles - Toshiba Brave Lupus	19:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWW
- Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers
Japan League One Rugby Union
06.02.26	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Shizuoka Blue Revs	60:45 ✺
24.01.26	Canon Eagles - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	32:38 ✺
16.01.26	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Ricoh Black Rams	67:21 ✺
10.01.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	20:22 ✺
27.12.25	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Toyota Verblitz	49:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
24.05.25	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	31:3
06.04.25	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Toshiba Brave Lupus	28:73
04.01.25	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	32:26
14.04.24	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	40:40
24.12.23	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Toshiba Brave Lupus	39:46
03.03.23	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	51:12
27.03.22	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Toshiba Brave Lupus	35:46

Toshiba Brave Lupus - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide