Match Info

Top 14 - Round 2

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Ernest-Wallon (Toulouse)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 4


	Toulouse		Perpignan

	1	X	2
	1.01	51	17
	1.01	45	13
	1.03	37.09	12.60	Watch
	1.01	50	23
	1.01	46	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↓ (1.02)	45.82 ↓ (48.67)	16.12 ↑ (14.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-28)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
92.2%

Draw
2%

Perpignan
5.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

91.7%

1.9%

6.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Perpignan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Toulouse - Perpignan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Perpignan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -23.5 - Toulouse (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -23 - Toulouse (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Perpignan (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 43:15

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neti R.	1. Beria G.
2. Cramont G.	2. Lotrian M.
3. Merkler J.	3. Brookes K.
4. Brennan J.	4. Van Tonder J. (C)
5. Flament T.	5. Warion A.
6. Banos L.	6. Hicks M.
7. Jelonch A. (C)	7. Le Corvec M.
8. Roumat A.	8. Yato P.
9. Saito N.	9. Ecochard T.
10. Ntamack R.	10. Allan T.
11. Lebel M.	11. Joseph J.
12. Gourgues K.	12. Paiaaua D.
13. Barassi P.	13. Duguivalu A.
14. Delibes D.	14. Veredamu T.
15. Ramos T.	15. Dubois L.
Substitutes
16. Marchand J.	16. Malolo S.
17. Baille C.	17. Gallardo L.
18. Verge C.	18. Diaby M.
19. Willis J.	19. Della Schiava N.
20. Graou P.	20. Aprasidze G.
21. Pouzelgues C.	21. Buliruarua E.
22. Kinghorn B.	22. Poulet J.
23. Aldegheri D.	23. Roelofse N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 13)
5', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
18', Barassi P. (Try),
18', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
23', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
26', Flament T. (Try),
26', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
28', Hicks M. (Try),
28', Allan T. (Conversion Goal),
40+3', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 0)
46', Delibes D. (Try),
46', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
56', Verge C. (Try),
56', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2.

In this match, Toulouse is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 444:364. (average 27.8:22.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 257:106. (average 36.7:15.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Toulousain
French Top 14
07.09.25	Clermont - Toulouse	24:34 ✺
28.06.25	Toulouse - Bordeaux Bègles	39:33 OT ✺
20.06.25	Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais	32:25 ✺
07.06.25	Perpignan - Toulouse	42:35 ✺
01.06.25	Toulouse - Lyon	43:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- USA Perpignan
French Top 14
06.09.25	Perpignan - Aviron Bayonnais	19:26 ✺
14.06.25	FC Grenoble - Perpignan	11:13 ✺
07.06.25	Perpignan - Toulouse	42:35 ✺
31.05.25	La Rochelle - Perpignan	38:15 ✺
17.05.25	Clermont - Perpignan	31:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
07.06.25	Perpignan - Toulouse	42:35
23.11.24	Toulouse - Perpignan	41:9
09.03.24	Perpignan - Toulouse	27:17
11.11.23	Toulouse - Perpignan	43:34
13.05.23	Perpignan - Toulouse	26:21
03.12.22	Toulouse - Perpignan	34:13
05.02.22	Perpignan - Toulouse	36:13

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