Match Info

Top 14 - Round 7

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Ernest-Wallon (Toulouse) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	11:35	Disney+
Chile	11:35	Disney+
Colombia	09:35	Disney+
France	16:35	CANAL+ France
Mexico	08:35	Disney+
Peru	09:35	Disney+
United Kingdom	15:35	FloSports app
Uruguay	11:35	Disney+
Venezuela	10:35	Disney+
International	14:35	TOP 14 Rugby TV


	Toulouse		Perpignan

	1	X	2
	1.01	51	15
	1.03	45	10
	1.01	49	15.5	Watch
	1.03	45	10
	1.02	50	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.02 ↓ (1.04)	48 ↑ (33)	12.9 ↑ (12.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 68.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-25)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
90.9%

Draw
1.9%

Perpignan
7.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

89.7%

2.8%

7.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Perpignan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Toulouse - Perpignan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 47:22

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baille C.	1. Gallardo L.
2. Mauvaka P.	2. Montgaillard V.
3. Aldegheri D.	3. Riccioni M.
4. Elias E.	4. Chinarro B.
5. Brennan J.	5. Tanguy M.
6. Cros F. (C)	6. Della Schiava N.
7. Jelonch A.	7. Madeira J.
8. Ntamack T.	8. Le Corvec M. (C)
9. Graou P.	9. Hall J.
10. Kinghorn B.	10. Garbisi P.
11. Lebel M.	11. Granell M.
12. Gourgues K.	12. Mascarenc D.
13. Thomas T.	13. Rabut M.
14. Capuozzo A.	14. Forner T.
15. Remue M.	15. Aucagne A.
Substitutes
16. Lacombre T.	16. Lotrian M.
17. Bertrand B.	17. Tetrashvili G.
18. Martin Bonnard R.	18. Yato P.
19. Castro-Ferreira M.	19. Tuilagi P.
20. Kouassi M.	20. Van Tonder J.
21. Dupont A.	21. Ecochard T.
22. Ntamack R.	22. Reece S.
23. Rapetti T.	23. Ceccarelli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 7)
21', Lebel M. (Try),
22', Kinghorn B. (Missed Conversion),
24', Mascarenc D. 🟨,
24', (Penalty Try),
36', Gallardo L. (Try),
37', Aucagne A. (Conversion Goal),
40', Brennan J. (Try),
40+1', Kinghorn B. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (21 - 26)
44', Jelonch A. (Try),
44', Kinghorn B. (Conversion Goal),
47', Lebel M. (Try),
47', Kinghorn B. (Conversion Goal),
50', Tetrashvili G. 🟨,
52', Thomas T. (Try),
52', Kinghorn B. (Conversion Goal),
63', Granell M. (Try),
65', Aucagne A. (Missed Conversion),
70', Lotrian M. (Try),
71', Aucagne A. (Conversion Goal),
74', Rabut M. (Try),
75', Aucagne A. (Conversion Goal),
76', Ecochard T. (Try),
80+2', Aucagne A. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Top 14 Playoffs - Semi - finals and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2.

Toulouse arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Perpignan have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Perpignan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, Toulouse enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Toulouse has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 502:407 (averaging 27.9:22.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Toulouse against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 288:119 goals (averaging 36:14.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Stade Toulousain	7	6	0	1	235:157	28
10	USA Perpignan	7	3	0	4	199:237	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Toulousain
European Rugby Champions Cup
18.10.26	Toulouse - Exeter Chiefs	43:40 ✺
French Top 14
11.10.26	Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais	45:34 ✺
03.10.26	Castres - Toulouse	7:8 ✺
27.09.26	Toulouse - Montpellier	40:18 ✺
19.09.26	Vannes - Toulouse	23:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW
- USA Perpignan
Challenge Cup Rugby
16.10.26	Newport Gwent Dragons - Perpignan	29:14 ✺
French Top 14
10.10.26	Perpignan - Vannes	21:12 ✺
03.10.26	Racing Métro - Perpignan	55:25 ✺
26.09.26	Perpignan - Bordeaux Bègles	38:25 ✺
19.09.26	Montpellier - Perpignan	50:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
03.01.26	Perpignan - Toulouse	30:27
13.09.25	Toulouse - Perpignan	31:13
07.06.25	Perpignan - Toulouse	42:35
23.11.24	Toulouse - Perpignan	41:9
09.03.24	Perpignan - Toulouse	27:17
11.11.23	Toulouse - Perpignan	43:34
13.05.23	Perpignan - Toulouse	26:21

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