Match Info

League One - Round 13

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Chichibunomiya Rugby Stadium (Tokyo)


	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath		Panasonic Wild Knights

	1	X	2
	2.44	26	1.56
	2.5	23	1.53
	2.42	20	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.63)	23 ↑ (21)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath
37.1%

Draw
4%

Panasonic Wild Knights
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

4.4%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

4.3%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Panasonic Wild Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panasonic Wild Knights than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 14)
2nd Half (20 - 22)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suntory Sungoliath won 0.

Suntory Sungoliath has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wild Knights is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wild Knights might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Suntory Sungoliath won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 163:272. (average 20.4:34).

Including home matches between the teams, Suntory Sungoliath won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 79:123. (average 19.8:30.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath
Japan League One Rugby Union
20.03.26	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	35:32 ✺
15.03.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Toshiba Brave Lupus	60:21 ✺
06.03.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	15:34 ✺
01.03.26	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	24:57 ✺
22.02.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Canon Eagles	54:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW
- Panasonic Wild Knights
Japan League One Rugby Union
21.03.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Ricoh Black Rams	31:7 ✺
13.03.26	Kubota Spears - Panasonic Wild Knights	30:32 ✺
28.02.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Honda Heat	66:19 ✺
21.02.26	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Panasonic Wild Knights	40:24 ✺
14.02.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Toyota Verblitz	26:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
24.01.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	31:30
10.05.25	Panasonic Wild Knights - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	60:17
21.12.24	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Panasonic Wild Knights	12:33
17.02.24	Panasonic Wild Knights - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	24:20
11.03.23	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Panasonic Wild Knights	29:41
29.05.22	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Panasonic Wild Knights	12:18
25.02.22	Panasonic Wild Knights - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	34:17

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Panasonic Wild Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide