Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 16

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 5


	US Dax		Agen

	1	X	2
	1.4	21	3.1
	1.53	19	2.6
	1.53	18.01	2.73	Watch
	1.5	19	2.75
	1.51	15	2.67
	1.4	21	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.37)	18.84 ↑ (18.71)	2.83 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

US Dax
62.5%

Draw
4.9%

Agen
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

US Dax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that US Dax's form might have worsened.

Agen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Agen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for US Dax than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for US Dax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agen than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Agen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

US Dax - Agen Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. US Dax will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Agen will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Agen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:17

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 7)
2nd Half (6 - 7)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, US Dax won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, US Dax is seen as the favorite.

We predict that US Dax will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, US Dax won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 180:223. (average 16.4:20.3).

Including home matches between the teams, US Dax won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 110:85. (average 22:17).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	US Dax	5	3	0	2	185:187	14
15	Agen	5	1	0	4	102:169	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Dax
French Pro D2
19.12.25	FC Grenoble - US Dax	24:20 ✺
12.12.25	US Dax - Colomiers	13:8 ✺
05.12.25	Nevers - US Dax	32:21 ✺
28.11.25	US Dax - Mont-De-Marsan	68:14 ✺
14.11.25	Biarritz - US Dax	18:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLWW
- SU Agen Lot-et-Garonne
French Pro D2
19.12.25	Agen - Stade Aurillacois	35:26 ✺
11.12.25	SA XV Charente - Agen	22:20 ✺
05.12.25	Agen - Provence Rugby	27:23 ✺
28.11.25	Vannes - Agen	36:15 ✺
14.11.25	Agen - Oyonnax Rugby	23:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
31.10.25	Agen - US Dax	31:0
09.05.25	US Dax - Agen	10:9
10.10.24	Agen - US Dax	20:10
10.05.24	US Dax - Agen	30:16
19.10.23	Agen - US Dax	7:3
10.03.17	Agen - US Dax	28:23
24.11.16	US Dax - Agen	30:32

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