Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	US Dax		Béziers

	1	X	2
	1.33	23	3.4
	1.36	23	3.25
	1.41	26	3.02
	1.35	21	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.31)	23.25 ↑ (17)	3.27 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

US Dax
67.8%

Draw
4%

Béziers
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

5.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

4.6%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

US Dax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Béziers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for US Dax than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with US Dax that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Béziers than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

US Dax - Béziers Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. US Dax will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. US Dax (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (18 - 5)
2nd Half (22 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, US Dax won 2.

US Dax is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Béziers has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, US Dax is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, US Dax won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 344:358. (average 22.9:23.9).

Including home matches between the teams, US Dax won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 226:125. (average 28.3:15.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Dax
French Pro D2
17.10.25	Stade Aurillacois - US Dax	36:33 ✺
02.10.25	US Dax - Vannes	15:16 ✺
26.09.25	Provence Rugby - US Dax	42:15 ✺
19.09.25	US Dax - Oyonnax Rugby	18:14 ✺
12.09.25	SA XV Charente - US Dax	28:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- AS Béziers
French Pro D2
17.10.25	Béziers - Valence Romans Drôme	29:37 ✺
03.10.25	Béziers - Carcassonne	31:19 ✺
25.09.25	Agen - Béziers	21:10 ✺
19.09.25	Béziers - Mont-De-Marsan	43:9 ✺
12.09.25	Stade Aurillacois - Béziers	49:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
27.03.25	US Dax - Béziers	33:6
08.11.24	Béziers - US Dax	50:17
08.03.24	US Dax - Béziers	57:20
17.11.23	Béziers - US Dax	40:14
22.03.18	US Dax - Béziers	15:23
24.11.17	Béziers - US Dax	26:10
03.03.17	Béziers - US Dax	52:17

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