Match Info

Top 14 - Round 22

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Rabine (Vannes)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Vannes		Toulon

	1	X	2
	3.1	21	1.4
	2.75	21	1.44
	3.25	24	1.39
	3.23	23.26	1.4
	3	23	1.4
	3.24	19	1.37
	3.25	24	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.71)	22.18 ↑ (19)	1.4 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vannes
29.7%

Draw
4.2%

Toulon
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

4.9%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vannes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulon's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Vannes - Toulon Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:31

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vunipola M.	1. Priso D.
2. Beziat T.	2. Baubigny T.
3. Medrano S.	3. Gigashvili B.
4. Marks E.	4. Halagahu M.
5. Metz F.	5. Alainuuese K.
6. Edwards J.	6. Ludlam L.
7. Gorrissen F.	7. Abadie E.
8. Kalamafoni S.	8. Isa F.
9. Varney S.	9. Serin B.
10. Lafage M.	10. Domon M.
11. Nakosi F.	11. Wainiqolo J.
12. Saili F.	12. Sinzelle J.
13. Taccola R.	13. Faingaanuku L.
14. Porch J.	14. Drean G.
15. Surano P.	15. Jaminet M.
Substitutes
16. Blanchard C.	16. Ivaldi M.
17. Moukoro T.	17. Gros J. B.
18. Mezou T.	18. Rebbadj S.
19. Bresler A.	19. Tolofua S.
20. Augry S.	20. Tuicuvu S.
21. Debaes T.	21. Danglot J.
22. Boudehent P.	22. Garbisi P.
23. Kite P.	23. Setiano E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (15 - 6)
7', Jaminet M. (Penalty Goal),
10', Beziat T. (Try),
10', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
20', Lafage M. (Penalty Goal),
28', Vunipola M. 🟨,
33', Halagahu M. 🟨,
37', Moukoro T. (Try),
37', Rebbadj S. 🟨,
40', Jaminet M. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 13)
42', Priso D. (Try),
42', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
44', Jaminet M. (Penalty Goal),
46', Domon M. 🟨,
47', Varney S. (Try),
47', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
51', Jaminet M. (Penalty Goal),
64', Varney S. (Try),
64', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro D2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Toulon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Toulon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Toulon have a series of home games.

In this match Toulon is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vannes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:54

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Vannes
French Top 14
19.04.25	Castres - Vannes	32:13 ✺
29.03.25	Vannes - Perpignan	20:20 ✺
22.03.25	Lyon - Vannes	36:21 ✺
01.03.25	Toulouse - Vannes	63:21 ✺
22.02.25	Vannes - Montpellier	37:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLW
- RC Toulonnais
French Top 14
19.04.25	Toulon - Clermont	31:24 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.04.25	Toulon - Toulouse	18:21 ✺
05.04.25	Toulon - Saracens	72:42 ✺
French Top 14
29.03.25	Castres - Toulon	28:26 ✺
22.03.25	Toulon - Perpignan	40:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
28.09.24	Toulon - Vannes	54:19

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