Match Info

Top 14 - Round 17

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Mayol (Toulon)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France


	Toulon		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.2	34	4.5
	1.2	27	4.5
	1.23	25.81	4.76	Watch
	1.2	26	4.5
	1.24	35	4.06
	1.23	41	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↑ (1.19)	31.47 ↑ (21.61)	4.43 ↓ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulon
76.1%

Draw
2.9%

Clermont
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.8%

4.3%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Toulon - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:22

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Priso D.	1. Lotrian S.
2. Baubigny T.	2. Fourcade E.
3. Gigashvili B.	3. Ojovan C.
4. Ribbans D.	4. Simmons R.
5. Alainu'uese B.	5. Ratuva T.
6. Ludlam L.	6. Hemery A.
7. Coulon J.	7. Dessaigne L.
8. Mercer Z.	8. Tolofua S.
9. Ferte M.	9. Zamora L.
10. Albornoz T.	10. Plummer H.
11. Villiere G.	11. Jurand J.
12. Sinzelle J.	12. Simone I.
13. Cowie O.	13. Loaloa A.
14. Tuicuvu S.	14. Delguy B.
15. Jaminet M.	15. Hamdaoui K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 19)
3', Ratuva T. (Try),
9', Hamdaoui K. (Try),
9', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
12', Zamora L. (Try),
12', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
25', Priso D. (Try),
25', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 15)
46', Priso D. (Try),
47', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
52', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),
56', Zamora L. (Try),
56', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
74', Hamdaoui K. (Try),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Toulon is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 483:440. (average 24.2:22).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 317:145. (average 35.2:16.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	Clermont	5	2	0	3	118:146	10
13	RC Toulonnais	5	1	0	4	101:115	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Toulonnais
French Top 14
01.02.26	Section Paloise - Toulon	32:12 ✺
25.01.26	Toulon - Montpellier	30:27 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.01.26	Gloucester - Toulon	14:31 ✺
11.01.26	Toulon - Munster	27:25 ✺
French Top 14
04.01.26	La Rochelle - Toulon	66:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWWL
- ASM Clermont Auvergne
French Top 14
31.01.26	Castres - Clermont	28:23 ✺
25.01.26	Clermont - La Rochelle	32:27 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.01.26	Sharks - Clermont	50:12 ✺
10.01.26	Clermont - Glasgow Warriors	21:33 ✺
French Top 14
03.01.26	Montauban - Clermont	19:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
11.10.25	Clermont - Toulon	27:10
19.04.25	Toulon - Clermont	31:24
06.10.24	Clermont - Toulon	19:18
02.06.24	Toulon - Clermont	52:10
18.11.23	Clermont - Toulon	27:30
26.02.23	Clermont - Toulon	36:21
18.09.22	Toulon - Clermont	30:29

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