Match Info

Top 14 - Round 13

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Mayol (Toulon)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1
United-kingdom	FloSports app


	Toulon		Perpignan

	1	X	2
	1.01	51	15
	1.02	50	12
	1.02	45.78	16.99	Watch
	1.01	34	13
	1.01	48	14.1
	1.01	61	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↓ (1.02)	48.3 ↑ (39.96)	14.52 ↓ (18.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-25)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulon
91.7%

Draw
1.9%

Perpignan
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

92.4%

2.4%

5.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Perpignan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Toulon - Perpignan Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -18.5 - Toulon (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toulon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 43:18

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ametlla L.	1. Beria G.
2. Baubigny T.	2. Ruiz I.
3. Sinckler K.	3. Ceccarelli P.
4. Ribbans D.	4. Chinarro B.
5. Javakhia G.	5. Warion A.
6. Ludlam L.	6. Hicks M.
7. Ollivon C. (C)	7. Le Corvec M.
8. Mercer Z.	8. Velarte L. (C)
9. White B.	9. Ecochard T.
10. Garbisi P.	10. Reus H.
11. Ferte M.	11. Granell M.
12. Sinzelle J.	12. De La Fuente J.
13. Smaili M.	13. Duguivalu A.
14. Drean G.	14. Petaia J.
15. Domon M.	15. Forner T.
Substitutes
16. Toevalu J.	16. Lotrian M.
17. Brennan D.	17. Tetrashvili G.
18. Alainu'uese B.	18. Yato P.
19. Abadie E.	19. Tanguy M.
20. Albornoz T.	20. Diaby M.
21. Serin B.	21. Aprasidze G.
22. Villiere G.	22. Aucagne A.
23. Priso D.	23. Brookes K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 10)
15', Ludlam L. (Try),
16', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
19', Granell M. (Try),
20', Reus H. (Conversion Goal),
28', Reus H. (Penalty Goal),
40', Beria G. 🟨,
2nd Half (24 - 6)
45', Alainu'uese B. (Try),
46', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
49', Villiere G. (Try),
50', Garbisi P. (Conversion Goal),
62', Reus H. (Penalty Goal),
67', Reus H. (Penalty Goal),
75', Alainu'uese B. (Try),
77', Drean G. (Try),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro D2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Toulon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Toulon is the obvious favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 394:239. (average 28.1:17.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 237:112. (average 33.9:16).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Toulonnais
French Top 14
21.12.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon	46:7 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Toulon - Bath	45:34 ✺
07.12.25	Edinburgh - Toulon	33:20 ✺
French Top 14
29.11.25	Toulon - Montauban	54:28 ✺
23.11.25	Stade Français - Toulon	51:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL
- USA Perpignan
French Top 14
20.12.25	Perpignan - Clermont	26:20 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
13.12.25	Benetton Treviso - Perpignan	44:31 ✺
07.12.25	Perpignan - Newport Gwent Dragons	41:17 ✺
French Top 14
29.11.25	Castres - Perpignan	23:7 ✺
22.11.25	Perpignan - Montpellier	0:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
22.03.25	Toulon - Perpignan	40:19
30.11.24	Perpignan - Toulon	13:22
02.03.24	Toulon - Perpignan	44:22
04.11.23	Perpignan - Toulon	26:22
15.04.23	Toulon - Perpignan	37:15
24.09.22	Perpignan - Toulon	19:13
19.02.22	Toulon - Perpignan	29:18

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