Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: CURRIE CUP - ROUND 12

Date: 26 May 2023, Friday

Location: Cape Town Stadium (Cape Town)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport


	Western Province		Lions

	1	X	2
	3.1	21	1.4
	2.7	26	1.47
	3	21	1.4
	3.08	26	1.39
	3.15	26	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	24 ↓ (24.06)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Province
30.6%

Draw
3.8%

Lions
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

3.8%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

3.6%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Province has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Province than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lions than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Western Province - Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:32

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Western Province won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lions will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Western Province won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 626-560.

Including matches at home between the teams Western Province won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 284-156.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Province Rugby
Currie Cup
19.05.23	Western Province - Pumas	22:14 ✺
12.05.23	Griffons - Western Province	21:25 ✺
06.05.23	Cheetahs - Western Province	26:21 ✺
29.04.23	Western Province - Blue Bulls	31:7 ✺
21.04.23	Pumas - Western Province	25:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL
- Lions Rugby
Currie Cup
20.05.23	Lions - Blue Bulls	32:33 ✺
13.05.23	Cheetahs - Lions	26:33 ✺
05.05.23	Griquas - Lions	25:21 ✺
28.04.23	Lions - Pumas	26:10 ✺
22.04.23	Blue Bulls - Lions	30:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Currie Cup
11.03.23	Lions - Western Province	28:44
28.05.22	Lions - Western Province	33:10
15.01.22	Western Province - Lions	48:36
18.08.21	Western Province - Lions	35:13
23.06.21	Lions - Western Province	38:32
05.12.20	Lions - Western Province	22:19
27.07.19	Western Province - Lions	28:30

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