Match Info

Currie Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Windhoek Draught Park (Kimberley)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport


	Griquas		Lions

	1	X	2
	1.28	22	3.8
	1.29	21	3.5	Watch
	1.26	20	3.6
	1.26	20	4.04
	1.28	27	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)	22 ↑ (20)	3.75 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Griquas
71.5%

Draw
4.1%

Lions
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

4.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.6%

4.2%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Griquas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Griquas than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lions than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Griquas - Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (35 - 5)
2nd Half (17 - 7)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Griquas won 2.

Griquas is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lions is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lions may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Griquas is a strong favorite.

We predict that Griquas will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Griquas won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 565:653. (average 28.3:32.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Griquas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 265:243. (average 29.4:27).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Griquas
Currie Cup
30.08.26	Boland Cavaliers - Griquas	17:48 ✺
21.08.26	Pumas - Griquas	14:38 ✺
14.08.26	Griquas - Sharks	55:21 ✺
08.08.26	Griquas - Lions	31:19 ✺
31.07.26	Griquas - Cheetahs	24:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW
- Lions Rugby
Currie Cup
28.08.26	Lions - Stormers XXIII	36:12 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
25.08.26	Lions - New Zealand	35:41 ✺
Currie Cup
21.08.26	Sharks - Lions	22:17 ✺
14.08.26	Lions - Boland Cavaliers	29:38 ✺
08.08.26	Griquas - Lions	31:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Currie Cup
08.08.26	Griquas - Lions	31:19
20.09.25	Lions - Griquas	25:27
06.09.25	Lions - Griquas	37:7
04.08.24	Griquas - Lions	28:36
19.07.24	Lions - Griquas	25:13
05.05.23	Griquas - Lions	25:21
16.04.23	Lions - Griquas	18:18

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