Match Info

EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 4

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Sergio Lanfranchi (Parma)


	Zebre		Perpignan

	1	X	2
	2.2	21	1.73
	2.1	21	1.73
	2.07	21	1.81
	2.1	21.71	1.82
	2.1	23	1.73
	2.2	19	1.75
	2.07	21	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.04)	21.1 ↑ (20.27)	1.77 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zebre
43.5%

Draw
4.4%

Perpignan
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

4.6%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

4.8%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zebre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Perpignan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zebre than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Zebre - Perpignan Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Perpignan will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:25

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rizzoli L.	1. Devaux B.
2. Bigi L. (C)	2. Montgaillard V. (C)
3. Pitinari J.	3. Roelofse N.
4. Nasove R.	4. Tanguy M.
5. Canali M.	5. Orie M.
6. Andreani L.	6. Della Schiava N.
7. Bianchi J.	7. Sobela P.
8. Ferrari G.	8. Ortombina A.
9. Dominguez T.	9. Aprasidze G.
10. Montemauri G.	10. McIntyre J.
11. Gregory S.	11. Toganiyadrava S.
12. Mazza D.	12. Naqalevu A.
13. Paea	13. Buliruarua E.
14. Trulla J.	14. Joseph J.
15. Da Re G.	15. Aucagne A.
Substitutes
16. Di Bartolomeo T.	16. Lotrian M.
17. Buonfiglio P.	17. Beria G.
18. Hasa M.	18. Fakatika A.
19. Krumov L.	19. Chinarro B.
20. Stavile B.	20. Bachelier L.
21. Garcia G.	21. Hall J.
22. Licata G.	22. Poulet J.
23. Gesi A.	23. Barraque J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 14)
9', Aucagne A. (Penalty Goal),
16', Aucagne A. (Penalty Goal),
20', Buliruarua E. (Try),
29', Aucagne A. (Penalty Goal),
36', Gregory S. (Try),
37', Dominguez T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 25)
51', Aucagne A. (Penalty Goal),
52', Licata G. (Try),
54', Montemauri G. (Conversion Goal),
57', Naqalevu A. (Try),
58', Aucagne A. (Conversion Goal),
67', Nasove R. (Try),
68', Montemauri G. (Conversion Goal),
72', Naqalevu A. (Try),
73', Aucagne A. (Conversion Goal),
75', Toganiyadrava S. (Try),
80+1', Aucagne A. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

Zebre has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Perpignan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zebre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zebre Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
12.01.25	Cheetahs - Zebre	22:18 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.12.24	Zebre - Benetton Treviso	12:24 ✺
21.12.24	Benetton Treviso - Zebre	11:10 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
14.12.24	Zebre - Lyon	19:21 ✺
07.12.24	Connacht - Zebre	43:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- USA Perpignan
Challenge Cup Rugby
11.01.25	Perpignan - Cardiff Rugby	23:20 ✺
French Top 14
04.01.25	Lyon - Perpignan	17:12 ✺
29.12.24	Perpignan - La Rochelle	21:13 ✺
21.12.24	Stade Français - Perpignan	24:7 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
15.12.24	Perpignan - Connacht	18:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL

Upcoming Matches