Match Info

EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 2

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Aimé Giral (Perpignan)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports MAX 5


	Perpignan		Connacht

	1	X	2
	1.73	21	2.2
	1.73	21	2.1
	1.55	23	2.5
	1.56	23.81	2.58	Watch
	1.53	19	2.5
	1.69	23	2.21
	1.55	23	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.68)	21.97 ↓ (25)	2.37 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perpignan
56.9%

Draw
4.2%

Connacht
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

3.7%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perpignan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Perpignan - Connacht Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:24

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gallardo L.	1. Buckley D.
2. Lam S. (C)	2. De Buitlear E.
3. Roelofse N.	3. Illo S.
4. Ortombina A.	4. Murray D.
5. Warion A.	5. Joyce J.
6. Della Schiava N.	6. Prendergast C. (C)
7. Hicks M.	7. Hurley-Langton S.
8. Dvali A.	8. O'Brien S.
9. Hall J.	9. Devine M.
10. Aucagne A.	10. Carty J.
11. Granell M.	11. Smith A.
12. Naqalevu A.	12. Forde C.
13. Buliruarua E.	13. Ralston B.
14. Joseph J.	14. Mullins C.
15. Crossdale A.	15. Cordero S.
Substitutes
16. Montgaillard V.	16. McBurney A.
17. Barcenilla J.	17. Duggan J.
18. Brookes K.	18. Aungier J.
19. Chinarro B.	19. Dowling O.
20. Fa'aso'o S.	20. Boyle P.
21. Aprasidze G.	21. Murphy B.
22. Allan T.	22. Hawkshaw D.
23. Duguivalu A.	23. Oliver C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (8 - 19)
6', Ralston B. (Try),
7', Carty J. (Conversion Goal),
10', De Buitlear E. (Try),
11', Carty J. (Conversion Goal),
17', Gallardo L. (Try),
27', Aucagne A. (Penalty Goal),
36', Mullins C. (Try),
2nd Half (10 - 12)
44', Aucagne A. (Penalty Goal),
50', Joseph J. (Try),
51', Aucagne A. (Conversion Goal),
57', Boyle P. (Try),
57', Carty J. (Conversion Goal),
80', McBurney A. (Try),

Preview

Perpignan is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Perpignan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Perpignan will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Perpignan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 31:58 (average 15.5:29).

Including matches at home between the teams Perpignan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21:36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA Perpignan
Challenge Cup Rugby
08.12.24	Cheetahs - Perpignan	20:20 ✺
French Top 14
30.11.24	Perpignan - Toulon	13:22 ✺
23.11.24	Toulouse - Perpignan	41:9 ✺
02.11.24	Perpignan - Vannes	32:13 ✺
26.10.24	Racing Métro - Perpignan	30:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLWL
- Connacht Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
07.12.24	Connacht - Zebre	43:12 ✺
United Rugby Championship
30.11.24	Connacht - Blue Bulls	14:28 ✺
26.10.24	Connacht - Newport Gwent Dragons	31:7 ✺
19.10.24	Connacht - Leinster	12:33 ✺
12.10.24	Ulster - Connacht	32:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
14.12.18	Perpignan - Connacht	21:36
08.12.18	Connacht - Perpignan	22:10

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