Match Info
EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 3Date: 11 January 2025, SaturdayLocation: Stade Aimรฉ Giral (Perpignan)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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France | beIN Sports MAX 4, France 3 |
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Perpignan |
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Cardiff Rugby |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.67 |
21 |
2.3 |
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 |
1.62 |
23 |
2.25 |
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 |
1.52 |
22 |
2.6 |
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 |
1.53 |
23.06 |
2.67 |
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 |
1.57 |
23 |
2.4 |
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 |
1.51 |
19 |
2.72 |
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 |
1.52 |
22 |
2.6 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.56 ↓ (1.91) |
21.87 ↑ (17.68) |
2.51 ↑ (1.97) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Perpignan 59% | Draw 4.2% | Cardiff Rugby 36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perpignan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perpignan's performance.Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cardiff Rugby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perpignan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Rugby than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff Rugby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Perpignan - Cardiff Rugby Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:22 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Beria G.
| 1. Barratt R.
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2. Montgaillard V.
| 2. Lloyd E.
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3. Roelofse N.
| 3. Assiratti K.
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4. Orie M.
| 4. McNally J.
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5. Tanguy M.
| 5. Williams T. (C)
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6. Della Schiava N.
| 6. Mann A.
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7. Ortombina A.
| 7. Thomas D.
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8. Velarte L.
| 8. Lawrence A.
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9. Aprasidze G.
| 9. Davies A.
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10. McIntyre J.
| 10. de Beer T.
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11. Toganiyadrava S.
| 11. Bowen T.
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12. De La Fuente J. (C)
| 12. Jennings R.
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13. Poulet J.
| 13. Lee-Lo R.
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14. Veredamu T.
| 14. Grace R.
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15. Allan T.
| 15. Winnett C.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Lam S.
| 16. Hughes D.
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17. Devaux B.
| 17. Southworth D.
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18. Fakatika A.
| 18. Davies-King W.
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19. Labouteley T.
| 19. Davies S.
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20. Sobela P.
| 20. Martin M.
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21. Ecochard T.
| 21. Mulder J.
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22. Aucagne A.
| 22. Thomas B.
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23. Naqalevu A.
| 23. Beetham J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (10 - 3)
- 4', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
- 36', de Beer T. (Penalty Goal),
- 40', Allan T. (Try),
- 40+2', Allan T. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (13 - 17)
- 43', Lee-Lo R. (Try),
- 44', de Beer T. (Conversion Goal),
- 49', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
- 50', Veredamu T. (Try),
- 54', de Beer T. (Penalty Goal),
- 62', Velarte L. (Try),
- 65', McIntyre J. 🟨,
- 70', Mulder J. (Try),
- 70', de Beer T. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Perpignan is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Cardiff is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Cardiff could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Recently, the teams did not play each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;