Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 4

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday

Location: Dexcom Stadium (Galway)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	TG4 Ireland
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, URC


	Connacht		Zebre

	1	X	2
	1.04	51	10
	1.04	40	9.8
	1.04	36	11	Watch
	1.03	32	8.35
	1.04	46	13
	1.05	45	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.06)	41.67 ↑ (34)	10.26 ↑ (9.2)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-21)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Connacht
88.8%

Draw
2.2%

Zebre
9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

87.2%

2.7%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Zebre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Connacht - Zebre Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Connacht will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 5.

The betting markets point to Connacht as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Connacht has recorded 17 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 703:319 (averaging 35.2:16 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Connacht against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 338:122 goals (averaging 37.6:13.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
14	Connacht	3	1	0	2	56:84	5
16	Zebre	3	0	0	3	52:116	1

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Connacht: 1.13% Zebre: 0.74%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connacht Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.10.26	Connacht - Saracens	45:36 ✺
United Rugby Championship
09.10.26	Glasgow Warriors - Connacht	36:19 ✺
02.10.26	Benetton Treviso - Connacht	19:22 ✺
25.09.26	Connacht - Stormers	15:29 ✺
29.05.26	Glasgow Warriors - Connacht	33:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLL
- Zebre Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
17.10.26	Zebre - Ulster	21:40 ✺
United Rugby Championship
10.10.26	Zebre - Edinburgh	12:29 ✺
02.10.26	Cardiff Rugby - Zebre	40:27 ✺
26.09.26	Zebre - Blue Bulls	13:42 ✺
16.05.26	Sharks - Zebre	54:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
31.01.26	Zebre - Connacht	15:31
17.05.25	Zebre - Connacht	12:22
Challenge Cup Rugby
07.12.24	Connacht - Zebre	43:12
United Rugby Championship
20.04.24	Connacht - Zebre	54:16
18.02.23	Zebre - Connacht	34:57
21.05.22	Connacht - Zebre	22:20
22.11.20	Zebre - Connacht	12:47

Connacht - Zebre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide