Match Info

World Championship - Semi-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Crucible Theatre (Sheffield)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Eurosport 1
Finland	Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1
Spain	Eurosport 1
Turkey	Eurosport 1
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 3


	Shaun Murphy		John Higgins

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.1
			Watch
	1.69	2.02	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	2.81	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.7)	1.99 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shaun Murphy
51.1%

John Higgins
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaun Murphy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

John Higgins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shaun Murphy than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shaun Murphy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Higgins than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for John Higgins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Shaun Murphy - John Higgins Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Murphy (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Shaun Murphy will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

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Preview

Murphy is ranked World Ranking: 8. Higgins is ranked World Ranking: 5.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murphy won 3.

Murphy has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Higgins is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Murphy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Murphy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:36. (average 3.2:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaun Murphy
Snooker
29.04.26	Zhao Xintong - Shaun Murphy	10:13 ✺
24.04.26	Guodong Xiao - Shaun Murphy	3:13 ✺
21.04.26	Shaun Murphy - Zhengyi Fan	10:9 ✺
01.04.26	Shaun Murphy - Judd Trump	9:10 ✺
19.03.26	Ronnie O`Sullivan - Shaun Murphy	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLL
- John Higgins
Snooker
29.04.26	John Higgins - Neil Robertson	13:10 ✺
27.04.26	John Higgins - Ronnie O`Sullivan	13:12 ✺
20.04.26	John Higgins - Ali Carter	10:7 ✺
04.04.26	John Higgins - Zhao Xintong	1:10 ✺
02.04.26	Mark Selby - John Higgins	8:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
04.12.25	John Higgins - Shaun Murphy	5:6
06.11.25	Shaun Murphy - John Higgins	2:6
07.03.25	Shaun Murphy - John Higgins	5:3
25.09.24	John Higgins - Shaun Murphy	4:2
17.07.24	Shaun Murphy - John Higgins	6:3
16.01.24	John Higgins - Shaun Murphy	0:4
24.08.23	John Higgins - Shaun Murphy	5:2

Shaun Murphy - John Higgins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide