Match Info

Northern Ireland Open - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	14:00	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Finland	15:00	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Greece	15:00	Eurosport 1
Hungary	14:00	Eurosport 1
Poland	14:00	Eurosport 1
Sweden	14:00	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Turkey	15:00	Eurosport 1
United Kingdom	13:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 4


	Matthew Selt		Sam Craigie

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.89	1.84
	1.86	1.86
	1.89	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.84)	1.88 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Selt
49.9%

Sam Craigie
50.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Selt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sam Craigie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Selt than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sam Craigie than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Preview

Selt is ranked World Ranking: 47., and Craigie is ranked World Ranking: 72..

Selt is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Craigie have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Craigie may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Selt has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Selt - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Selt
Snooker
20.10.26	Louis Heathcote - Matthew Selt	2:4 ✺
18.10.26	Hossein Vafaei Ayouri - Matthew Selt	3:4 ✺
23.09.26	Matthew Selt - Liam Graham	4:1 ✺
18.09.26	Matthew Selt - Ross Muir	2:6 ✺
15.09.26	Matthew Selt - Antoni Kowalski	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW
- Sam Craigie
Snooker
21.10.26	Sam Craigie - Xu Si	4:3 ✺
18.10.26	Guodong Xiao - Sam Craigie	3:4 ✺
28.09.26	Kyren Wilson - Sam Craigie	5:1 ✺
20.09.26	Sam Craigie - Antoni Kowalski	3:4 ✺
18.09.26	Noppon Saengkham - Sam Craigie	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
26.01.24	Matthew Selt - Sam Craigie	4:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sam Craigie
Snooker
01.11.26	Stan Moody - Sam Craigie	✺

Matthew Selt - Sam Craigie