The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sam Craigie 47.2%
Elliot Slessor 52.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.5%
54.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
52.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sam Craigie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Elliot Slessor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sam Craigie than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elliot Slessor than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
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Preview
Craigie is ranked World Ranking: 72., and Slessor is ranked World Ranking: 23..
Craigie has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Slessor is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Slessor in today's match, at odds of 1.71.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Craigie has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:29 (averaging 4.8:7.3 goals per game).