Match Info

Welsh Open - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:


	Shaun Murphy		Chang Bingyu

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Shaun Murphy
67.7%

Chang Bingyu
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaun Murphy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Chang Bingyu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaun Murphy than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chang Bingyu than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

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Murphy is ranked World Ranking: 8. Bingyu is ranked World Ranking: 54.

Murphy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bingyu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Murphy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Murphy is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Murphy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 55:52. (average 27.5:26).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaun Murphy
Snooker
20.02.26	Shaun Murphy - Zhao Xintong	3:6 ✺
18.02.26	Shaun Murphy - Anda Zhang	6:1 ✺
10.02.26	Shaun Murphy - Chatchapong Nasa	5:3 ✺
04.02.26	Shaun Murphy - Junxu Pang	1:5 ✺
01.02.26	Shaun Murphy - Judd Trump	4:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL
- Chang Bingyu
Snooker
10.02.26	Chang Bingyu - Hatem Yassin	5:0 ✺
05.02.26	Wu Yize - Chang Bingyu	5:3 ✺
03.02.26	Jack Lisowski - Chang Bingyu	4:5 ✺
10.01.26	Chang Bingyu - Mohammed Mustafa Shehab	4:1 ✺
07.01.26	Stan Moody - Chang Bingyu	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Shaun Murphy - Chang Bingyu