Match Info

Tour Championship - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Manchester Central (Manchester)


	Shaun Murphy		Judd Trump

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.61	1.41	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.81	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.74)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shaun Murphy
33.1%

Judd Trump
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaun Murphy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Judd Trump has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shaun Murphy than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Judd Trump than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Preview

Murphy is ranked World Ranking: 8. Trump is ranked World Ranking: 1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murphy won 0.

Murphy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Trump is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Trump may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Trump could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Trump will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Murphy won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 82:122. (average 4.1:6.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Judd Trump - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 65.68%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaun Murphy
Snooker
19.03.26	Ronnie O`Sullivan - Shaun Murphy	5:3 ✺
18.03.26	Xu Si - Shaun Murphy	1:5 ✺
16.03.26	David Lilley - Shaun Murphy	4:5 ✺
24.02.26	Shaun Murphy - Chang Bingyu	0:4 ✺
20.02.26	Shaun Murphy - Zhao Xintong	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWLL
- Judd Trump
Snooker
30.03.26	Judd Trump - Mark Allen	10:8 ✺
21.03.26	Judd Trump - Thepchaiya Un-Nooh	4:6 ✺
20.03.26	Judd Trump - Hossein Vafaei Ayouri	5:1 ✺
19.03.26	Judd Trump - Robbie Williams	5:2 ✺
18.03.26	Judd Trump - Jackson Page	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
01.02.26	Shaun Murphy - Judd Trump	4:10
28.04.25	Shaun Murphy - Judd Trump	10:13
20.03.25	Judd Trump - Shaun Murphy	6:0
25.10.24	Judd Trump - Shaun Murphy	5:1
06.09.24	Judd Trump - Shaun Murphy	6:5
21.07.24	Judd Trump - Shaun Murphy	11:5
05.03.24	Judd Trump - Shaun Murphy	4:3

Shaun Murphy - Judd Trump: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide