Match Info

Players Championship - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Telford International Centre (Telford)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Eurosport 2
Finland	Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 2
Romania	Eurosport 2
Spain	Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 2


	Shaun Murphy		Zhao Xintong

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.10	1.64	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.14	1.66	Watch
	2.22	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.1)	1.66 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shaun Murphy
43.3%

Zhao Xintong
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaun Murphy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Zhao Xintong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaun Murphy than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhao Xintong than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

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Preview

Murphy is ranked World Ranking: 8. Zhao is ranked World Ranking: 7.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murphy won 3.

Murphy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zhao is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zhao may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Zhao will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Murphy won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 3.5:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Shaun Murphy - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.85%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaun Murphy
Snooker
18.02.26	Shaun Murphy - Anda Zhang	6:1 ✺
10.02.26	Shaun Murphy - Chatchapong Nasa	5:3 ✺
04.02.26	Shaun Murphy - Junxu Pang	1:5 ✺
01.02.26	Shaun Murphy - Judd Trump	4:10 ✺
31.01.26	Shaun Murphy - Neil Robertson	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLW
- Zhao Xintong
Snooker
18.02.26	Zhao Xintong - Elliot Slessor	6:5 ✺
08.02.26	Anda Zhang - Zhao Xintong	6:10 ✺
07.02.26	Guodong Xiao - Zhao Xintong	3:6 ✺
06.02.26	Chris Wakelin - Zhao Xintong	4:5 ✺
05.02.26	Zhao Xintong - Mark Selby	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
20.11.25	Zhao Xintong - Shaun Murphy	4:2
23.11.24	Shaun Murphy - Zhao Xintong	6:5
18.03.21	Zhao Xintong - Shaun Murphy	1:2
31.01.20	Zhao Xintong - Shaun Murphy	3:5
28.07.18	Shaun Murphy - Zhao Xintong	0:4
27.08.17	Shaun Murphy - Zhao Xintong	4:2
13.12.16	Shaun Murphy - Zhao Xintong	4:2

Shaun Murphy - Zhao Xintong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide