Match Info

World Championship - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Crucible Theatre (Sheffield)


	Zhao Xintong		Shaun Murphy

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.35	2.87	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.59	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.35)	2.75 ↓ (2.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhao Xintong
65.7%

Shaun Murphy
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhao Xintong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Shaun Murphy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhao Xintong than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaun Murphy than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Zhao Xintong - Shaun Murphy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Frames - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

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Preview

Zhao is ranked World Ranking: 4. Murphy is ranked World Ranking: 8.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhao won 2.

Zhao has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Murphy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Murphy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zhao is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Zhao won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 3.2:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhao Xintong
Snooker
26.04.26	Zhao Xintong - Ding Junhui	13:9 ✺
18.04.26	Zhao Xintong - Liam Highfield	10:7 ✺
05.04.26	Judd Trump - Zhao Xintong	3:10 ✺
04.04.26	John Higgins - Zhao Xintong	1:10 ✺
02.04.26	Zhao Xintong - Chris Wakelin	10:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW
- Shaun Murphy
Snooker
24.04.26	Guodong Xiao - Shaun Murphy	3:13 ✺
21.04.26	Shaun Murphy - Zhengyi Fan	10:9 ✺
01.04.26	Shaun Murphy - Judd Trump	9:10 ✺
19.03.26	Ronnie O`Sullivan - Shaun Murphy	5:3 ✺
18.03.26	Xu Si - Shaun Murphy	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
20.02.26	Shaun Murphy - Zhao Xintong	3:6
20.11.25	Zhao Xintong - Shaun Murphy	4:2
23.11.24	Shaun Murphy - Zhao Xintong	6:5
18.03.21	Zhao Xintong - Shaun Murphy	1:2
31.01.20	Zhao Xintong - Shaun Murphy	3:5
28.07.18	Shaun Murphy - Zhao Xintong	0:4
27.08.17	Shaun Murphy - Zhao Xintong	4:2

Zhao Xintong - Shaun Murphy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide