Match Info

Serie D - Round 1

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira (Marabá)


	Águia de Marabá		Grêmio Atlético Sampaio

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.25	4.6
	1.8	3.3	4.1
	1.88	3.43	3.97
	1.77	3.47	4.24	Watch
	1.65	3.3	5
	1.75	3.34	4.41
	1.8	3.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.16)	3.34 ↑ (3.01)	4.35 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águia de Marabá
51.7%

Draw
27.3%

Grêmio Atlético Sampaio
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

30.2%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30.6%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águia de Marabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águia de Marabá's performance.

Grêmio Atlético Sampaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio Atlético Sampaio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águia de Marabá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Atlético Sampaio than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Atlético Sampaio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Águia de Marabá - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Águia de Marabá (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Águia de Marabá (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 🟥,
90+6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+8', 🟥,

Preview

Recent matches Águia de Marabá is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

GAS in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Águia de Marabá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Águia de Marabá will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águia de Marabá
Brazilian Copa Grao Para
12.04.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Águia de Marabá	1:2 penalties ✺
06.04.25	Águia de Marabá - Bragantino do Pará	3:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
01.04.25	Paysandu - Águia de Marabá	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Bragantino do Pará - Águia de Marabá	0:1 penalties ✺
02.03.25	Bragantino do Pará - Águia de Marabá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWL
- Grêmio Atlético Sampaio
Brazilian Campeonato Roraimense
05.04.25	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Monte Roraima	2:1 penalties ✺
29.03.25	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - São Raimundo PR	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Náutico FC - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	1:6 ✺
15.03.25	Atlético Roraima - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	1:8 ✺
08.03.25	Rio Negro - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

Águia de Marabá - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide