Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 29

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Águilas		Cartagena B

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.2	8
	1.33	4.5	9.5	Watch
	1.34	4.49	9.21
	1.34	4.49	9.21
	1.35	4.65	8.15
	1.32	4.4	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)	4.46 ↑ (3.8)	8.78 ↑ (6.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
68.9%

Draw
20.7%

Cartagena B
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

23.9%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

22.7%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águilas's performance.

Cartagena B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Águilas - Cartagena B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Francis ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, Ayllon I. (Pen),
88', Cassio Junior 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Águilas won 4.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Cartagena B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Águilas is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Águilas won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Águilas won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.03.24	Orihuela - Águilas	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Águilas - El Palo	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	UCAM Murcia - Águilas	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Sevilla B - Águilas	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Águilas - San Roque de Lepe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LLTTL
- Cartagena B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.03.24	Cartagena B - Yeclano Deportivo	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Betis B - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Cartagena B - La Unión	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Antoniano - Cartagena B	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cartagena B - Marbella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.11.23	Cartagena B - Águilas	0:2
Club Friendly
29.08.21	Águilas - Cartagena B	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
02.05.21	Cartagena B - Águilas	1:2
14.04.21	Águilas - Cartagena B	2:1
22.12.19	Águilas - Cartagena B	0:0
13.01.19	Cartagena B - Águilas	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
06.05.18	Cartagena B - Águilas	3:2

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