Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Rubial (Águilas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	IB3


	Águilas		Poblense

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.8
	2.02	2.98	4.04
	2.02	2.92	3.99
	1.95	2.8	3.8
	1.94	3.06	3.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.94)	2.95 ↓ (3.4)	3.9 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
46%

Draw
30.8%

Poblense
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

25.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Poblense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Águilas - Poblense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Águilas could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.05.26	Águilas - Utebo	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Utebo - Águilas	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.05.26	Águilas - Almeria B	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Estepona - Águilas	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Águilas - Lorca Deportiva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW
- UD Poblense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.05.26	Poblense - Numancia	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Numancia - Poblense	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.05.26	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Poblense	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Poblense - Porreres	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Terrassa - Poblense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLWW

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