Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo Santa Ana (Utebo)


	Utebo		Águilas

	1	X	2
	3.65	3	1.98
	3.9	2.99	2.05
	3.84	2.98	2.04
	3.63	3.14	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.47)	3.03 ↓ (3.07)	2.01 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Utebo
24.4%

Draw
30.2%

Águilas
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

29.9%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

29.6%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Utebo - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Pipo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+1', 1 - 1, Beitia C. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Manzano K. ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Águilas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Utebo - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 26.49%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Águilas - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.61%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.05.26	Sestao - Utebo	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Utebo - Ebro	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Mutilvera - Utebo	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Utebo - Eibar B	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Gernika - Utebo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWTW
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.05.26	Águilas - Almeria B	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Estepona - Águilas	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Águilas - Lorca Deportiva	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Melilla - Águilas	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Águilas - Xerez Deportivo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches