The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Águilas 41.1%
Draw 32.1%
UCAM Murcia 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
30.1%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
30.7%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Águilas - UCAM Murcia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Aquino D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 1 - 1, Kouassi B. ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, Mizzian M. (Penalty Awarded),
86', 🟥,
86', 🟥,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Águilas could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Águilas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
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