Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 9

Date: 22 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Asane Arena (Bergen)

Referee: Bodding A. (Nor)


	Åsane		Vålerenga

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.7	1.75
	3.8	3.7	1.77
	4	3.75	1.83	Watch
	4.13	4.02	1.78
	4.14	4.03	1.78
	3.8	3.8	1.7
	4.02	3.98	1.77	Watch
	3.9	3.75	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.66)	3.84 ↑ (3.76)	1.77 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Åsane
23.4%

Draw
24.1%

Vålerenga
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

24.7%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

24.1%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Åsane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Åsane than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Åsane - Vålerenga Predictions

Users Predictions: Vålerenga will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kjellevold S. (G) 17. Bruun-Hansen M. 3. Steen E. 4. Kolskogen O. (C) 27. Lotsberg T. 5. Iversen E. 10. Barmen K. 16. Fredriksen D. 15. Strand S. 19. Larsen K. 11. Skalevik S.	21. Sjoeng M. (G) 2. Borchgrevink C. (C) 4. Olsen A. 23. Kreuzriegler M. 6. Hedenstad V. 24. Strand P. 29. Ambina F. 25. El Abdellaoui J. 8. Bjordal H. 7. Riisnaes M. 9. Rijks M.
Substitutes
25. Bangoura E. 21. Berisha J. 14. Haga K. 18. Kallevag O. 12. Madsen O. (G) 20. Nygard S. 7. Thornes M. 54. Torkildsen-Espeland H. 22. Wolfe D.	20. Apold-Aasen L. 5. Fasika I. 19. Kamara O. 3. Kjelsen A. 14. Obasi O. 27. Ronning A. 1. Storevik J. (G)
Coaches
Rossland M.	Bakke G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
20', 0 - 1, Bjordal H. ⚽, El Abdellaoui J. (A),
24', Iversen E. 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Kreuzriegler M. ⚽,
33', 0 - 3, Rijks M. ⚽, Ambina F. (A),
35', Skalevik S. 🟨,
36', 0 - 4, Bjordal H. (Pen),
36', Bruun-Hansen M. ↓, Wolfe D. ↑,
36', Lotsberg T. ↓, Kallevag O. ↑,
38', Kolskogen O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Iversen E. ↓, Nygard S. ↑,
71', Rijks M. ↓, Kamara O. ↑,
74', Steen E. 🟨,
74', Steen E. ↓, Haga K. ↑,
80', Riisnaes M. ↓, Ronning A. ↑,
80', Olsen A. ↓, Fasika I. ↑,
81', Larsen K. ↓, Bangoura E. ↑,
85', Kreuzriegler M. ↓, Kjelsen A. ↑,
88', 1 - 4, Strand S. ⚽, Fredriksen D. (A),
89', 1 - 5, El Abdellaoui J. ⚽, Ambina F. (A),

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8).

Åsane is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vålerenga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vålerenga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vålerenga have a series of home games.

In this match Vålerenga is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Åsane Fotbal
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.24	Mjøndalen - Åsane	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Åsane - Start	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Raufoss - Åsane	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Eidsvold Turn - Åsane	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.04.24	Åsane - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLT
- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.24	Vålerenga - Kongsvinger	0:2 ✺
11.05.24	Aalesunds - Vålerenga	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
08.05.24	Vålerenga - Hamarkameratene	3:2 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.05.24	Vålerenga - Bryne	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Vålerenga - Tromsø	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWW

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